Buffalo vs. Akron - 3/13/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Akron Zips (21-13) at Buffalo Bulls (21-9)
College Basketball: Friday, March 13, 2015 at 9:00 pm (Quicken Loans Arena)
The Line: Buffalo Bulls -2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Time Warner Cable Sports Channel - New York; Time Warner Cable Sports Channel - Ohio
The Akron Zips and Buffalo Bulls will battle at Quicken Loans Arena on Friday night in the semifinals of the MAC Tournament.
The Akron Zips (21-13) won their third game in three days by upsetting the Kent State Golden Flashes 53-51 last night. The Zips earned the 7th seed by finishing the season with a 9-9 conference record. Akron was able to overcome shooting just 20.8% (5-24) from beyond the arc as they committed just 3 turnovers and held Kent State to just 11.8% (2-17) from three-point range. Leading the way for the Zips was Isaiah Johnson who had 10 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 blocks. Akron is ranked 126th in the RPI Standings and has played the 144th ranked SOS. On the season, the Zips have been led by Deji Ibitayo (10.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 1.0 apg) and Pat Forsythe (10.0 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 1.0 apg). Akron averages 68.8 ppg (ranked 140th) on 41.9% shooting (ranked 263rd). The Zips average 9.6 three-pointers per game (ranked 7th) and commit 12.3 turnovers per game (ranked 149th). Defensively, Akron is holding their opponents to an average of 63.2 ppg (ranked 91st) on 40.8% shooting (ranked 79th). The Zips average 4.5 bpg (ranked 56th) and pull down 35.85 total rpg (ranked 94th).
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The Buffalo Bulls finished the season with a 21-9 overall record and earned the 2-seed in the MAC Tournament with a 12-6 conference record. Buffalo has an explosive offensive which is led by the MAC player of the year, Justin Moss. Buffalo is ranked 34th in the RPI Standings and has played the 69th ranked SOS. Buffalo picked up a few good conference wins on the season, but really made a statement in the beginning of the season when they were beating Kentucky at halftime in their 2nd game of the season.
Buffalo is averaging 74.8 ppg (ranked 27th) on 43.6% shooting (ranked 172nd). The Bulls average 6.0 three-pointers per game (ranked 207th) on 34.0% three-point shooting (ranked 189th). Buffalo shoots 72.8% from the free-throw line (ranked 48th) and commits 11.5 turnovers per game (ranked 64th). Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 68.1 ppg (ranked 226th) on 42.1% shooting (ranked 127th). The Bulls average 7.7 spg (ranked 40th) and pull down 38.2 total rpg (ranked 22nd). The Bulls have been led by Justin Moss (18.4 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 1.1 spg) and Shannon Evans (15.3 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 4.8 apg).
The Zips are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. The Bulls are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Friday games.
Buffalo and Akron split their season series as Buffalo won 67-62 at home and lost 75-72 at Akron. Akron has been on a tear through the tournament and they’ve really have picked up their defensive effort as in MAC tournament they are allowing just 49.3 ppg. Akron will need to continue to rely on their defensive as if they are not hitting their three-pointers, the game needs to be played in the 50’s for them to have a chance. Although Akron does have talent to beat Buffalo, the Buffalo offensive is much tougher than what they’ve faced so far in the MAC Tournament. I think Justin Moss and Shannon Evans has a big game and covers this small spread. Take Buffalo to cover.