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Central Michigan vs. Toledo - MAC Tournament - 3/13/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toledo Rockets (20-12) at Central Michigan Chippewas (22-7)

College Basketball: Friday, March 13, 2015 at 6:30 pm (Quicken Loans Arena)

The Line: Central Michigan Chippewas Pick-em -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Time Warner Cable Sports Channel - New York; Time Warner Cable Sports Channel - Ohio

The Toledo Rockets and Central Michigan Chippewas will face off at Quicken Loans Arena this Friday evening in the MAC Tournament semifinals.

The Toledo Rockets (20-12) used a big first half and never looked back in their 78-67 victory against the Eastern Michigan Eagles on Thursday night. Toledo earned the 4-seed in the MAC Tournament with an 11-7 conference record. Toledo shot 48.3% from the field and held Eastern Michigan to just 28.6% (8-28) shooting from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Rockets was Nathan Boothe who had 20 points, 9 rebounds, and 2 blocks. Toledo is ranked 77th in the RPI Standings and has played the 90th ranked SOS. On the season the Rockets have been led by Julius Brown (16.4 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 4.3 apg) and Justin Drummond (13.0 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 2.0 apg). Toledo is averaging 75.5 ppg (ranked 25th) on 47.0% shooting (ranked 37th). The Rockets shoot 74.4% from the free-throw line (ranked 25th) and average 6.0 three-pointers per game (ranked 209th). Defensively, Toledo is allowing their opponents to average 71.0 ppg (ranked 288th) on 43.8% shooting (ranked 211th). The Rockets pull down 36.19 total rpg (ranked 81st) and have a rebound margin of 3.5 (ranked 70th).

Central Michigan vs. Toledo - MAC Tournament - 3/13/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Central Michigan Chippewas finished the regular season with a 22-7 record and earned the 1-seed in the MAC Tournament with a 12-6 conference record. Central Michigan is a high scoring team that really can beat you from beyond the arc. The Chippewas are ranked 76th in the RPI Standings and has played the 238th ranked SOS. Central Michigan’s biggest wins of the season have come against Buffalo (twice), Toledo (twice) and at Northwestern.

Central Michigan averages 78.1 ppg (ranked 16th) on 46.7% shooting (ranked 45th). The Chippewas average 10.3 three-pointers per game (ranked 3rd) on 37.7% three-point shooting (ranked 57th). Central Michigan is shooting 72.1% from the free-throw line (ranked 71st) and commits just 10.4 turnovers per game (ranked 15th). Defensively, Central Michigan is allowing their opponents to average 67.0 ppg (ranked 185th) on 43.9% shooting (ranked 221st). The Chippewas average 7.1 spg (ranked 70th) and has a turnover margin of 3.3 (ranked 18th). On the season, Central Michigan has been led by Chris Fowler (15.3 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 6.0 apg) and John Simons (12.1 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 1.1 spg).

The Rockets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. The Chippewas are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.

Central Michigan was able to beat Toledo in both of their matchups this season (65-62 @ Toledo, 85-77 at home). Central Michigan has been great all season as they really protect the ball well and have had great success from beyond the arc. Toledo is an experienced team that can really score the ball however, has had issues on the defensive side. Although Toledo has struggled defensively, they are good at defending the three-pointer as they are holding teams to just 31.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Central Michigan has had a great season however, I can’t trust a team that relies so heavily on the three-pointer. I think Toledo limits the Chippewas damage from beyond the arc advances to the finals of the MAC championship. I'm taking to Toledo to win in this one. 

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Toledo Rockets - Pick Em

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