Kansas vs. Baylor - Big-12 Championship - 3/13/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baylor Bears (24-8) at Kansas Jayhawks (25-7)
College Basketball: Friday, March 13, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Sprint Center)
The Line: Kansas Jayhawks -1 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The Baylor Bears and Kansas Jayhawks will face off at the Sprint Center this Friday night in the semifinals of the Big-12 Championship.
The 16th ranked Baylor Bears (24-8) pulled away in the second half to defeat the 18th ranked West Virginia Mountaineers 80-70 this past Thursday. Baylor is the 4 seed in the Big 12 Championship as they finished conference play with a 11-7 record. Baylor was able to shoot 51.0% from the field and was able to win the turnover battle by a 14-10 margin. Leading the way for the Bears was Rico Gathers who had 15 points, 9 rebounds, and 1 block. Baylor is ranked 10th in the RPI Standings and has played the 3rd ranked SOS. On the season, the Bears have been led by Taurean Prince (14.0 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.3 apg) and Rico Gathers (11.6 ppg, 11.7 rpg, 1.0 bpg). Baylor is averaging 69.7 ppg (ranked 111th) on 43.5% shooting (ranked 179th). The Bears average 7.1 three-pointers per game (ranked 87th) on 38.7% three-point shooting (ranked 33rd). Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 60.0 ppg (ranked 29th) on 39.9% shooting (ranked 49th). The Bears pull down 39.58 total rpg (ranked 8th) and have a rebound margin of 8.5 (ranked 7th).
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The 9th ranked Kansas Jayhawks (25-7) won a hard-fought battle against TCU 64-59 on Thursday afternoon. Kansas was able to win their 11th straight regular season championship and earned the number 1 seed with a 13-5 conference record. Kansas was able to shoot 48.9% from field however, did end up going 0-8 from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Jayhawks was Kelly Oubre Jr. who had 25 points, 6 rebounds, and 3 steals. Kansas is ranked 2nd in the RPI Standings and has played the top-ranked SOS. On the season, the Jayhawks have been led by Perry Ellis (14.2 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 1.3 apg) and Frank Mason III (12.6 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 4.1 apg). Kansas is averaging 71.9 ppg (ranked 68th) on 44.1% shooting (ranked 139th). The Jayhawks are shooting 72.1% from the free-throw line and 38.3% from beyond the arc (ranked 41st). Defensively, Kansas is allowing their opponents to average 65.1 ppg (ranked 141st) on 39.5% shooting (ranked 35th). The Jayhawks average 6.5 spg (ranked 138th) and pull down a total of 38.16 total rpg (ranked 24th).
The Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Kansas was able to defeat Baylor in both matchups they played this season (56-55 @ Baylor; 74-64 @ Home). Kansas has been able to have some offensive success against Baylor this season as they shot better than 45.0% from the field in both matchups, however, the Jayhawks did have both Cliff Alexander and Perry Ellis who are both listed as doubtful for this game. Both Baylor and Kansas can really do a great job on the boards, however, Baylor is one of the best on the offensive glass which they showed in their match-up against West Virginia. Baylor is a great defensive team and I think they’ll have better success against a Kansas team that is missing a few of their key players. I think Baylor will knock off Kansas in this one and advance to the Big-12 Championship. Take Baylor and the point.