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Virginia vs. North Carolina - 3/13/15 ACC Semifinal Pick, Odds, and Prediction

North Carolina Tar Heels (22-10) at Virginia

College Basketball: Friday, March 13, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Greensboro Coliseum)

The Line: Virginia -2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The North Carolina Tar Heels and Virginia Cavaliers meet Friday night in the ACC semifinal.

The North Carolina Tar Heels look to stay hot after winning five of their last seven games. On the season, North Carolina is averaging 78.2 points on 47.3 percent shooting and is allowing 68 points on 39.5 percent shooting. Marcus Paige is averaging 13.7 points and 4.6 assists while Brice Johnson is averaging 12.8 points and 7.9 rebounds. Kennedy Meeks is grabbing 7.6 rebounds and Justin Jackson is dishing 2.5 assists. The North Carolina Tar Heels have four double-digit scorers, and they’re shooting 69.6 percent from the line and 34 percent from deep. Defensively, NC is allowing 29.5 percent shooting from deep and has given up 64 or less points in six of its last seven games.

Virginia vs. North Carolina - 3/13/15 ACC Semifinal Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Virginia Cavaliers have won five of their last six games and just beat FSU. On the season, Virginia is averaging 65.3 points on 46.4 percent shooting and is allowing 50.1 points on 35.7 percent shooting. Malcolm Brogdon is averaging 13.7 points and four rebounds while Justin Anderson is averaging 13.4 points and two assists. Anthony Gill is the third double-digit scorer and Darion Atkins is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Virginia Cavaliers have five players averaging at least 7.2 points, and they’re shooting 71.6 percent from the line and 36.2 percent from deep. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 30 percent shooting from deep and has given up 60 or less points in eight straight games.

The Tar Heels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. 

Without a healthy Anderson on the court, I give the North Carolina Tar Heels the edge due to their size. Expect a hard played game, but I see North Carolina pulling this one out late. 

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North Carolina Tar Heels +2.5

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