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St. Francis PA vs. Bowling Green - CIT Tournament - 3/17/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Bowling Green Falcons (20-11) at St. Francis PA Red Flash (16-15)

College Basketball: Tuesday, March 17, 2015 at 7:00 pm (DeGol Arena)

The Line: St. Francis PA Red Flash +4 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

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The Bowling Green Falcons and St. Francis (PA) Red Flash will battle at DeGol Arena this Tuesday night in the first round of CIT.

The Bowling Green Falcons finished the season 20-11 (11-7 MAC) after being defeated by the Eastern Michigan Eagles 73-67 in the 2nd round of the MAC Tournament. The Falcons have struggled late in the season, losing 5 of their last 8 games, as their usually strong defensive has been struggling as of late. Bowling Green is ranked 110th in the RPI Standings and 96th in the BPI Standings. On the season, the Falcons have been led by Richaun Holmes (14.8 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 2.7 bpg) and Jehvon Clarke (10.4 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 1.6 apg). Bowling Green is averaging 66.7 ppg (ranked 191st) on 43.5% shooting (ranked 175th). The Falcons average 6.6 three-pointers per game (ranked 141st) and have a 1.04 assist/turnover ratio (ranked 142nd). Defensively, Bowling Green is holding their opponents to an average of 62.3 ppg (ranked 67th) on 40.9% shooting (ranked 83rd). The Falcons pull down 34.81 total rpg (ranked 150th) and have a turnover margin of 1.0 (ranked 100th).

St. Francis PA  vs. Bowling Green - CIT Tournament - 3/17/15 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The St. Francis (PA) Red Flash finished the regular season with a 16-15 (9-9 NEC) record after falling 62-48 to the St. Francis BRK terriers in the quarterfinals of the NEC Tournament. The Red Flash struggled on the offensive end at the end of the season losing 5 of their last 7 games will averaging just 61.7 ppg. St. Francis (PA) is ranked 178th in the RPI Standings and 231st in the BPI Standings. On the season, the Red Flash have been led by Earl Brown (15.9 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 1.9 apg) and Malik Harmon (9.5 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.2 spg). St. Francis (PA) is averaging 64.4 ppg (ranked 245th) on 43.9% shooting (ranked 148th). The Red Flash average 7.1 three-pointers per game (ranked 90th) and commit 12.6 turnovers per game (ranked 183rd). Defensively, St. Francis (PA) is holding their opponents to an average of 64.0 ppg (ranked 108th) on 43.4% shooting (ranked 194th). The Red Flash commit 16.0 personal fouls per game (ranked 36th) and hold teams to just 31.3% shooting from beyond the arc (ranked 44th).

The Falcons are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Under is 4-1 in the Red Flash last 5 overall games.

Bowling Green has almost been as good on the road (9-6) on the season as they were at home (11-5) and I see their defensive limiting the Red Flash from a good day on the offensive end. I think the Falcons find enough offensive in this one to cover the spread. Take Bowling Green to cover. 

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Bowling Green Falcons -4

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