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Dayton vs. Boise State NCAA Tournament - 3/18/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boise State Broncos (25-8) at Dayton Flyers (25-8)

College Basketball: Wednesday, March 18, 2015 at 9:10 pm (Dayton Arena)

The Line: Dayton Flyers -2 -- Over/Under: 127.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: truTV

The Boise State broncos and the Dayton Flyers face off on Wednesday in Dayton in the final play-in game of the NCAA basketball tournament.

The Boise State Broncos finished the season 25-8 but a loss to Wyoming in the Mountain West Conference Championship game and they land in this spot. Boise is averaging 70.8 points and they are shooting 45.8 percent while defensively they are allowing 60.3 points and their opponents are shooting 41.5 percent. Derrick Marks leads the Broncos averaging 19.3 points per game. Anthony Drmic is averaging 15 points and 5.0 rebounds, James Webb III is averaging 11.3 points and 7.9 rebounds, and Nick Duncan is averaging 9.7 points. Boise State is 8-5 away from home and they played the 137th ranked schedule in the nation.

Dayton vs. Boise State NCAA Tournament - 3/18/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Dayton Flyers finished the regular season at 25-8 but a loss the VCU in the A-10 Championship lands them in this game. Dayton is averaging 68.2 points and they are shooting 46.3 percent while defensively they are allowing 60.9 points and their opponents are shooting 42.1 percent. Jordan Sibert leads the Flyers averaging 16.5 points per game. Kendall Pollard is averaging 12.8 points and 5.4 rebounds, DyShawn Pierre is averaging 12.7 points and 8.2 rebounds, and Devon Scot is averaging 9.1 points and 7.4 rebounds. Dayton is 12-3 out of conference and they were 16-0 at home this season.

Boise is 8-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 14-3 against the spread in their last 17 games, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five neutral site games. Dayton is 4-0 against the spread in NCAA Tournament games, 5-2 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 1-5 against the spread in their last six non-conference games.

The total is at 127.5 but I don’t see that as an issue here as this one goes over that and the over is my free pick. My stronger play is on who will cover the spread and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as on the App. 

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Over 127.5

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