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Harvard vs. North Carolina - 3/19/15 NCAA Tournament Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Harvard Crimson (22-7) at North Carolina Tar Heels (24-11)

College Basketball: Thursday, March 19, 2015 at 7:20 pm (Jacksonville Veterans Memorial Arena)

The Line: North Carolina Tar Heels -10.5 -- Over/Under: 133 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The Harvard Crimson and North Carolina Tar Heels meet Thursday in the NCAA Tournament.

The Harvard Crimson won the Ivy League and have lost twice since February. On the season, Harvard is averaging 63.1 points on 42.7 percent shooting and is allowing 58.1 points on 40.7 percent shooting. Wesley Saunders is averaging 16.3 points and 6.1 rebounds while Siyani Chambers is averaging 9.8 points and 4.3 assists. Steve Moundou-Missi is grabbing 7.4 rebounds and Corbin Miller is shooting 37.5 percent. The Harvard Crimson have four players averaging at least 8.3 points, and they’re shooting 71.3 percent from the line and 35.3 percent from deep. Defensively, Harvard is allowing 33.4 percent shooting from beyond the arc and has given up 62 or less points in seven of its last eight games.

Harvard vs. North Carolina - 3/19/15 NCAA Tournament Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The North Carolina Tar Heels were the fifth-best ACC team and won five of their last seven. On the season, North Carolina is averaging 77.9 points on 47.5 percent shooting and is allowing 68.4 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Marcus Paige is averaging 13.9 points and 4.6 assists while Brice Johnson is averaging 13.2 points and 7.7 rebounds. Kennedy Meeks is grabbing 7.5 rebounds and Justin Jackson is dishing 2.3 assists. The North Carolina Tar Heels have four double-digit scorers, and they’re shooting 70 percent from the line and 34.5 percent from deep. Defensively, North Carolina is allowing 29.8 percent shooting from deep and has given up 67 or less points in seven of its last 10 games.

The Crimson are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. Atlantic Coast and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Tar Heels are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. 

Harvard is a smart basketball team that's not going to beat itself. However, the Crimson don't have the size and physical players to match up well with the Tar Heels. I look for NC to wear down Harvard and pull away late, giving us the cover.

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North Carolina Tar Heels -10.5

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