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North Texas vs. Southern Illinois - 12/5/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Southern Illinois Salukis (7-1) at North Texas Mean Green (2-5)

College Basketball: Saturday, December 5, 2015 at 6:00 pm (The Super Pit)

The Line: North Texas Mean Green +5.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

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The Southern Illinois Salukis will travel to UNT Coliseum to take on the North Texas Mean Green this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The Southern Illinois Salukis won their 2nd straight game and improved to 7-1 (0-0 MVC) on the season after defeating the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, 74-50, this past Wednesday. Southern Illinois held Southeast Missouri State to just 23 points on 26% shooting in the 2nd half to secure the win. Southern Illinois shot 44.8% from the field and forced Southeast Missouri State to commit 21 turnovers. The Salukis held the Redhawks to 34.5% shooting and outrebounded Southeast Missouri State by a 45-33 margin. Southern Illinois was led by Sean O’ Brien who had a double-double with 22 points, 11 rebounds, and 2 assists. On the season, the Salukis have been led by Anthony Beane (19.9 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.4 spg), Sean O’Brien (14.6 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 1.8 apg), and Bola Olaniyan (7.4 ppg, 8.4 rpg). Offensively, Southern Illinois is averaging 79.1 ppg on 46.6% shooting. The Salukis average 6.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.05. Defensively, Southern Illinois is allowing their opponents to average 70.5 ppg on 42.9% shooting. The Salukis have a rebound margin of 1.3 and a turnover margin of 3.5.

North Texas vs. Southern Illinois - 12/5/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The North Texas Mean Green lost their 5th straight game and dropped to 2-5 (0-0 C-USA) on the season after being defeated by the UT-Arlington Mavericks, 90-67, this past Thursday. UT-Arlington stormed out of the gates for a 23-6 lead and outscored the Mean Green by a 38-25 margin in the second half to secure the victory. North Texas shot 44.8% from the field and committed 17 turnovers in the loss. The Mean Green allowed the Mavericks to shot 53.3% from the field and 50.0% (9-18) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for North Texas was Deckie Johnson who had 16 points, 4 rebounds, 2 assists, and a block. On the season, the Mean Green have been led by Jeremy Combs (14.6 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 1.4 bpg), J-Mychal Reese (14.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 3.6 apg), and Deckie Johnson (12.3 ppg, 4.1 rpg). Offensively, North Texas is averaging 81.1 ppg on 49.3% shooting. The Mean Green average 6.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.80. Defensively, North Texas is allowing opponents to average 78.7 ppg on 43.1% shooting. The Mean Green have a rebound margin of -1.1 and have a turnover margin -1.9.

The Salukis are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up however, just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Mean Green are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games however, just 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Southern Illinois has been a nice surprise at the beginning of the season as after having multiple players quit the program after last season, Antony Beane and company have been outstanding at the start of this season. North Texas has only been able to pick up wins against non-DI teams and has struggled defensively in their recently losing streak. Although I’m not completely convinced that Southern Illinois is good enough to challenge in the MVC this season, I’m very impressed by how their playing on both ends of the floor and think they can go on the road and cover this spread against North Texas. Take Southern Illinois to cover this spread. 

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North Texas Mean Green +5.5

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