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New Mexico vs. New Mexico State - 12/16/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Mexico State Aggies (5-4) at New Mexico Lobos (6-2)

College Basketball: Wednesday, December 16, 2015 at 9:00 pm (University Arena)

The Line: New Mexico Lobos -10.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The New Mexico State Aggies will travel to The Pit to take on the New Mexico Lobos this Wednesday night in College Basketball action.

The New Mexico State Aggies lost their 2nd consecutive game and dropped to 5-4 (0-0 WAC) on the season after being defeated by the Wyoming Cowboys, 62-59, this past Sunday. The Aggies were down by as many as 14 points in the 2nd half and although they cut the lead to 56-55 with just over a minute left, New Mexico State couldn’t complete the comeback. New Mexico State struggled offensively, as they shot just 35.0% from the field and 14.3% (2-14) from beyond the arc. The Aggies allowed Wyoming to shoot 43.8% (7-16) from three-point range and outrebounded the Cowboys by a 45-27 margin. Leading the way for the New Mexico State was Pascal Siakam who had a double-double with 14 points and 15 rebounds. On the season, the Aggies have been led by Pascal Siakam (23.4 ppg, 13.2 rpg, 2.1 bpg), Ian Baker (15.2 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 3.3 apg), and Matt Taylor (5.1 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 2.6 apg). Offensively, New Mexico State is averaging 72.9 ppg on 45.5% shooting from the field and 30.8% shooting from beyond the arc. The Aggies average 5.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.95. Defensively, New Mexico State is holding their opponents to an average of 65.1 ppg on 39.1% shooting. The Aggies have a rebound margin of 15.6 and a turnover margin of -4.0.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State - 12/16/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New Mexico Lobos improved to 6-2 (0-0 MW) after an impressive 76-57 victory over the Northern Iowa Panthers this past Saturday. The Lobos played great defensively and used an 8-0 run early in the 2nd half to take control of the game. New Mexico shot 50.0% from the field and outrebounded Northern Iowa by a 36-25 margin. The Lobos held the Panthers to 44.0% shooting from the field and 24.0% (6-25) shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for New Mexico was Elijah Brown who had 25 points, 7 rebounds, and 2 assists. On the season, the Lobos have been led by Elijah Brown (18.8 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 3.3 apg), Tim Williams (16.5 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 1.4 bpg), and Cullen Neal (15.0 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 4.5 apg). Offensively, New Mexico is averaging 78.3 ppg on 47.2% shooting from the field and 36.0% shooting from three-point range. The Lobos average 6.8 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.18. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing an average of 67.1 ppg on 38.9% shooting. The Lobos currently have a rebound margin of 3.5 and a turnover margin of 0.3.

The Aggies are 10-2 ATS In their last 12 games following an ATS loss however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Lobos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

New Mexico State continues to be the team to beat in the WAC and although they lost 3 of their 4 top scorers from last year’s team, they still have Pascal Siakam and Ian Baker who have had great starts to their seasons. New Mexico has agreeably the best player in the MAC in Cullen Neal and although they aren’t the most experienced squad, they have been getting great production out of Elijah Brown and are coming their most impressive win of the season against Northern Iowa. New Mexico already beat New Mexico State by a 83-74 margin on the road this season and as The Pit is one of the harder places for opponents to play, I think the Lobos keep their momentum going and cover this large spread at home. Take New Mexico to cover. 

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New Mexico Lobos -10.5

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