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Valparaiso vs. Missouri State - 12/19/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Missouri State Bears (4-6) at Valparaiso Crusaders (9-2)

College Basketball: Saturday, December 19, 2015 at 2:30 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)

The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders -15 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Missouri St. Tv; ESPN College Extra

The Missouri State Bears travel to the Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Crusaders this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The Missouri State Bears improved to 4-6 (0-0 MVC) on the season after defeating the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles, 85-66, this past Wednesday. Missouri State jumped all over Oral Roberts in this one taking a 45-22 halftime lead and never led the Golden Eagles get within double-digits in the 2nd half. Missouri State shot 53.3% from the field and 35.3% (6-17) from beyond the arc in the victory. The Bears held the Golden Eagles to 35.9% shooting from the field and 23.8% (5-21) from three-point range. Leading the way for Missouri State was Camyn Boone who had 27 points, 7 rebounds, and 2 assists. On the season, the Bears have been led by Camyn Boone (14.3 ppg, 6.7 rpg), Chris Kendrix (11.9 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.5 spg), and Dequon Miller (11.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 3.3 apg). Missouri State is averaging 70.6 ppg on 41.7% shooting from the field and 29.6% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bears average 5.0 three-pointers per game and has an assist/turnover ratio of 1.01. Defensively, Missouri State is allowing their opponents to average 72.9 ppg on 44.3% shooting. The Bears have a rebound margin of 3.7 and a turnover margin of -0.2.

Valparaiso vs. Missouri State - 12/19/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Valparaiso Crusaders won their 3rd consecutive game and improved to 9-2 (0-0 Horizon) on the season after defeating the Chicago State Cougars, 71-53, on December 11th. Valparaiso raced out to a 39-23 lead and used a 10-0 run in the 2nd half to put the game away for the Crusaders. Valparaiso shot 41.1% from the field and an impressive 51.9% (14-27) from beyond the arc in the victory. The Crusaders were outstanding defensively holding the Cougars to 39.6% shooting from the field and 29.4% (5-17) shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Valparaiso was Alec Peters who had 26 points and 7 rebounds while going a perfect 6 for 6 from three-point range. On the season, the Crusaders have been led by Alec Peters (17.1 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 1.3 apg), Tevonn Walker (11.6 ppg, 2.3 rpg), and Keith Carter (8.8 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 3.6 apg). Offensively, Valparaiso is averaging 71.2 ppg on 43.4% shooting from the field and 33.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Crusaders average 7.0 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.05. Defensively, Valparaiso is holding their opponents to an average of 57.4 ppg on 36.9% shooting. The Crusaders have a rebound margin of 5.0 and a turnover margin of 2.8.

The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Crusaders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Missouri State struggled to start the season but has  been playing well as of late as they’ve won three of their last four games including wins a solid road win against Oklahoma State. Valparaiso is one of the better teams in the country as they are outstanding on the defensive end and solid across the board offensively. Valparaiso will probably be a top-25 team sooner than later this season and although they are at home, I like how Missouri State has played as of late and if they get a solid game at of Camyn Boone, I think they’ll be able to cover this large spread. Take Missouri State and the points. 

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Missouri State Bears +15

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