Butler vs. IUPUI - 12/28/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
IUPUI Jaguars (4-10) at Butler Bulldogs (10-1)
College Basketball: Monday, December 28, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Hinkle Fieldhouse)
The Line: Butler Bulldogs -23 -- Over/Under: 151 See the Latest Odds
The IUPUI Jaguars will travel to Hinkle Fieldhouse to take on the 9th ranked Butler Bulldogs this Monday night in College Basketball action.
The IUPUI Jaguars dropped to 4-10 (0-0 summit) on the season after being defeated by the Memphis Tigers, 84-48, this past Tuesday. IUPUI struggled offensively and couldn’t make a run in the 2nd half after falling behind 39-17 in the 1st half. IUPUI shot 25.0% from the field and 8.3% (1-12) from beyond the arc in the loss. The Jaguars allowed the Tigers to shoot 36.4% (8-22) from beyond the arc and was outrebounded by Memphis by a 56-46 margin. Leading the way for IUPUI was Nick Osborne who had 8 points, 12 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 steal, and a block. On the season, the Jaguars have been led by Darell Combs (16.1 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.1 spg), Matt O’Leary (10.1 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 2.0 apg), and Nick Osborne (8.1 ppg, 6.9 rpg). Offensively, IUPUI is averaging 67.6 ppg on 39.6% shooting from the field and 32.9% shooting from three-point range. The Jaguars average 6.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.74. Defensively, IUPUI is allowing their opponents to average 76.3 ppg on 46.3% shooting. The Jaguars have a rebound margin of -1.9 and a turnover margin of -1.2.
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The 9th ranked Butler Bulldogs won their 7th straight game and improved to 10-1 (0-0 Big East) on the season after defeating the Southern Utah Thunderbirds, 88-52, this past Tuesday. Butler used a strong defensive effort and had no issues securing the win after taking a 20-point halftime lead. Butler shot an impressive 63.8% from the field and 44.4% (8-18) from beyond the arc. The Bulldogs held the Thunderbirds to 35.8% shooting from the field and outrebounded Southern Utah by a 37-25 margin. Leading the way for Butler was Roosevelt Jones who had a double-double of 12 points, 10 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 steals. On the season, the Bulldogs have been led by Kellen Dunham (16.3 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.3 apg), Kelan Martin (13.8 ppg, 5.6 rpg), and Roosevelt Jones (13.5 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 5.3 apg, 1.3 spg). Offensively, Butler is averaging 89.7 ppg on 51.3% from the field and 37.0% from beyond the arc. The Bulldogs average 7.1 three-pointers per game and has an assist/turnover ratio of 1.71. Defensively, Butler is allowing their opponents to average 70.5 ppg on 40.2% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs have a rebound margin of 8.4 and a turnover margin of 3.1.
The Jaguars are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Butler has been one of the better offensive teams in the country shooting over 50% from the field and I just don’t see them struggling against a struggling IUPUI defense that is allowing their opponents to average 82 ppg in their last 5 games. The Jaguars are 1-9 on the road and as they have lost by more than 25 points against Memphis, Creighton, and Purdue, I think Butler will be able to cover this large spread at home. Take IUPUI to cover.