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Tennessee vs. Tennessee State - 12/29/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tennessee State Tigers (9-3) at Tennessee Volunteers (6-5)

College Basketball: Tuesday, December 29, 2015 at 1:00 pm (Thompson-Boling Arena)

The Line: Tennessee Volunteers -12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: SEC Network

The Tennessee State Tigers will travel to Thompson-Boling Arena to take on the Tennessee Volunteers this Tuesday afternoon in College basketball action.

The Tennessee State Tigers had their seven game winning streak snapped and dropped to 9-3 (0-0 OVC) on the season after being defeated by the Illinois State Redbirds, 66-55, this past Tuesday. Tennessee State struggled offensively out of the gates in this one and couldn’t overcome a 35-23 halftime deficit in the loss. Tennessee State shot just 37.7% from the field, 28.6% (6-21) from beyond the arc, and 37.5% (3-8) from the free-throw line. The Tigers allowed Illinois State to shot 46.8% from the field and was outrebounded by the Redbirds by a 39-28 margin. Leading the way for Tennessee State was Keron Deshields who had 16 points, 2 rebounds, 3 assists, and 3 steals off the bench. On the season, the Tigers have been led by Keron Deshields (16.1 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.5 spg), Wayne Martin (13.4 ppg, 11.1 rpg, 1.6 bpg), and Tahjere McCall (11.8 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 3.3 apg, 2.1 spg). Offensively, Tennessee State is averaging 73.3% from the field and 34.0% from beyond the arc. The Tigers average 5.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.80. Defensively, Tennessee State is allowing their opponents to average 66.6 ppg on 39.3% shooting. The Tigers have a rebound margin of 5.5 and average 7.6 steals per game.

Tennessee  vs. Tennessee State  - 12/29/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Tennessee Volunteers improved to 6-5 (0-0 SEC) on the season after defeating the East Tennessee State Buccaneers, 76-67, this past Tuesday. Tennessee was up by a 42-33 margin at halftime however, allowed the Buccaneers to tie it at 67 in the final minute, however the Volunteers went on a 9-0 run to end the game and secure the win. Tennessee shot 39.7% from the field, 33.3% (6-18) from three-point range, and 64.5% (20-31) from the FT line. The Volunteers held the Buccaneers to 36.8% shooting from the field and 29.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Tennessee was Armani Moore who had a double-double with 14 points, 12 rebounds, and an assist. On the season, the Volunteers have been led by Kevin Punter (22.1 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 3.8 apg, 1.5 spg), Armani Moore (15.6 ppg, 7.5 rpg, 3.3 apg, 1.9 bpg), and Robert Hubbs III (13.4 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.3 apg). Offensively, Tennessee is averaging 80.0 ppg on 44.3% shooting from the field and 35.9% shooting from beyond the arc. The Volunteers average 7.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.39. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing their opponents to average 75.4 ppg on 40.6% shooting. The Volunteers have a rebound margin of -2.7 and a turnover margin of 1.6.

The Tigers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games however, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Volunteers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Tennessee State has an impressive record on paper but don’t be deceived by this as the Tigers have played an easy schedule to kick off the season. Tennessee is currently in a rebuilding year under first year head coach Matt Barnes, but the Volunteers led by Kevin Punter and Armani Moore have been competitive and had close losses to both Butler and Gonzaga. The Tigers will need to be able to slow down the Volunteers offense to stand a chance, however, I think Tennessee State is just too overmatched in this one to cover with the points on the road. I’m taking the Tennessee Volunteers to cover in this one. 

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Tennessee Volunteers -12.5

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