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Troy vs. Arkansas State - 12/30/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-7) at Troy Trojans (5-6)

College Basketball: Wednesday, December 30, 2015 at 8:30 pm (Trojan Arena)

The Line: Troy Trojans -5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves will travel to Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans this Wednesday night in College Basketball action.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves improved to 4-7 (0-0 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Central Arkansas Bears, 77-67, on December 22nd. After falling behind 31-30 at halftime, Arkansas State used a 17-6 run to start the 2nd half to gain control of the contest and get the victory. Arkansas State shot 44.4% from the field and 38.9% (7-18) from beyond the arc however, struggled at the FT line hitting just 59.5% (22-37) of their FT attempts. The Red Wolves held the Bears to 31.8% shooting from the field and 28.6% (6-21) shooting from three-point range. Leading the way for Arkansas State was Anthony Livingston who had 22 points, 7 rebounds, 1 steal, and a block. On the season, the Red Wolves have been led by Anthony Livingston (15.1 ppg, 8.6 rpg, 1.0 bpg), Devin Carter (14.9 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 2.6 apg), and Donte Thomas (13.2 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 5.6 apg, 1.3 spg). Offensively, Arkansas State is averaging 76.9 ppg on 42.5% shooting from the field and 32.6% shooting from three-point range. The Red Wolves average 5.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.10. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing their opponents to average 74.5 ppg on 38.2% shooting. The Red Wolves have a rebound margin of 2.4 and average 5.3 blocks per game.

Troy vs. Arkansas State - 12/30/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Troy Trojans fell to 5-6 (0-0 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Ole Miss Rebels, 83-80 in OT, on December 22nd. Troy was able to fight back from a 13 point deficit with under 8 minutes left in the game to force OT however, couldn’t pull off the upset victory after they were held scoreless for the final 1:16 of OT. Troy shot 47.7% from the field and 30.0% (6-20) from beyond the arc in the loss. The Trojans held the Rebels to 42.9% shooting from the field and 28.6% (8-28) shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Troy was Jeremy Hollimon who had 22 points, 6 rebounds, 4 steals, and an assist. On the season, the Trojans have been led by Wesley Person (17.9 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.0 apg), Jordon Varnado (17.6 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.1 bpg), and Jeremy Hollimon (12.7 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.5 spg). Offensively, Troy is averaging 76.7 ppg on 43.2% shooting from the field and 31.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Trojans average 7.2 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.04. Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 76.5 ppg on 41.7% shooting from the field. The Trojans have a rebound margin of -0.9 and a turnover margin of 1.5.

The Red Wolves are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall and 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. Sun Belt opponents. The Trojans are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 home games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.

Arkansas State returned basically their whole team from last year’s 11-18 squad however, have struggled at the beginning of the season gaining only two wins against D-I opponents. Troy wasn’t projected to do much this season but has played some good teams (Ole Miss, Seton Hall) early on in the season and has two solid go-to players in Wesley Person and Jordon Varnado. Troy has struggled at home in conference play and although they looked good against Ole Miss, I think Arkansas State can repeat the success they had last year at Troy (64-55 victory) and keep this one close enough to cover with the points. Take Arkansas State and the points in this one. 

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Arkansas State Red Wolves +5.0

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