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Providence vs. St. John's - 1/2/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

St. John's Red Storm (7-7) at Providence Friars (13-1)

College Basketball: Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Dunkin Donuts Center)

The Line: Providence Friars -16.5 -- Over/Under: 137.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: Fox Sports 1

The St. John’s Red Storm will travel to the Dunkin Donuts Center to take on the 12th ranked Providence Friars this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The St. John’s Red Storm lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 7-7 (0-1 Big East) on the season after being defeated by the Creighton Bluejays, 80-70, this past Thursday. St. John’s shot 42.2% from the field and 30.8% shooting from beyond the arc in the loss. The Red Storm allowed the Bluejays to shoot 46.4% from the field and 31.8% shooting from three-point range. St. John’s had 7 blocks in the contest but did commit 12 turnovers. Leading the way for St. John’s was Malik Ellison who had 17 points, 6 rebounds, and a block off the bench. On the season, the Red Storm have been led by Federico Mussini (13.4 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.3 spg), Durand Johnson (11.8 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.6 apg), and Yankuba Sima (8.6 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 3.3 bpg). St. John’s is averaging 67.0 ppg on 41.8% shooting from the field and 33.0% shooting from beyond the arc. The Red Storm average 6.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.88. Defensively, St. John’s is allowing their opponents to average 70.9 ppg on 41.7% shooting. The Red Storm have a rebound margin of 0.3 and a turnover margin of -2.0.

Providence vs. St. John's - 1/2/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The 12th ranked Providence Friars improved to 13-1 (1-0 Big East) from the season after getting a big win over the 9th ranked Butler Bulldogs, 81-73, this past Thursday. Providence was down by a 36-25 margin at halftime but was great offensively in the 2nd half and outscored the Bulldogs by a 56-37 margin in the victory. Providence shot 43.1% from the field and 46.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Friars held the Bulldogs to shoot 41.4% from the field and just 17.6% (3-17) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Providence was Rodney Bullock who had a double-double from 25 points, 10 rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 blocks. On the season, the Friars have been led by Kris Dunn (16.8 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 7.4 apg, 3.1 spg), Ben Bentil (18.8 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.2 bpg), and Rodney Bullock (14.4 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.4 bpg). Offensively, Providence is averaging 76.2 ppg on 45.4% shooting from the field and 33.5% shooting from beyond the arc. The Friars average 6.6 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.65. Defensively, Providence is holding their opponents to an average 67.0 ppg on 43.0% shooting. The Friars have a rebound margin of 2.4 and a turnover margin of 4.6.

The Red Storm are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games however, just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Friars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big East opponents and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

St. John’s has really struggled on the offensive side of the ball this season and have average just 64 ppg in their current four game losing streak. Providence has been outstanding this season and could be very dangerous if the Friars continue to get solid contributions from Ben Bentil and Rodney Bullock to go along with Chris Dunn. Providence is a very good team at home and although I’m a bit nervous of a letdown after a great win against Butler, I just don’t think St. John’s has enough talent to hang around with the Friars in this one. Take Providence to cover. 

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Providence Friars -16.5

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