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SMU vs. South Florida - 1/2/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

South Florida Bulls (3-11) at Southern Methodist Mustangs (12-0)

College Basketball: Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Moody Coliseum)

The Line: Southern Methodist Mustangs -25.5 -- Over/Under: 138 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN News

The South Florida Bulls will travel to Moody Coliseum to take on the 17th ranked SMU Mustangs this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The South Florida Bulls lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 3-11 (0-1 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the Houston Cougars, 73-67, this past Wednesday. South Florida played Houston tough but couldn’t pull off the victory after allowing the Cougars to go on a 6-1 run to end the game. South Florida shot 43.1% from the field and 40.0% (6-15) from beyond the arc in the loss. The Bulls allowed Houston to shoot 42.3% from the field and was outrebounded by the Cougars by a 45-23 margin. Leading the way for South Florida was Chris Perry who had a double-double with 19 points, 10 rebounds, and 4 assists. On the season, the Bulls have been led by Jahmal McMurray (13.4 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 2.1 apg), Roddy Peters (9.8 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 3.5 apg), and Angel Nunez (9.8 ppg, 5.6 rpg). Offensively, South Florida is averaging 64.2 ppg on 41.2% shooting and 27.1% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bulls average 4.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.65. Defensively, South Florida is allowing their opponents to average 71.5 ppg on 41.2% shooting. The Bulls have a rebound margin of 4.9 and a turnover margin of -6.2.

SMU vs. South Florida  - 1/2/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The 17th ranked SMU Mustangs stayed undefeated on the season and improved to 12-0 (1-0 AAC) after defeated the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 81-69, this past Tuesday. SMU was outstanding on the offensive end and outscored Tulsa by a 40-34 margin in the 2nd half to secure the victory. SMU shot 56.4% shooting from the field and 66.7% (10-15) from beyond the arc. The Mustangs allowed the Golden Hurricane to shoot 44.1% from the field and 30.0% (6-20) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for SMU was Nic Moore who had 23 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists, and a steal. On the season, the Mustangs have been led by Nic Moore (16.2 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 5.0 apg), Jordan Tolbert (12.6 ppg, 10.2 rpg, 1.2 apg), and Ben Moore (12.1 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.4 bpg). Offensively, SMU is averaging 83.8 ppg on 52.7% shooting from the field and 44.9% shooting from beyond the arc. The Mustangs average 6.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.61. Defensively, SMU is holding their opponents to an average of 62.8 ppg on 38.5% shooting. The Mustangs have a rebound margin of 14.1 and a turnover margin of 0.3.

The Bulls are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS win and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Mustangs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games and 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 vs. AAC opponents.

South Florida has struggled to get wins but has been decent on the defensive end as they do a good job on the glass and ranked in the top 10 in the country in blocks per game. SMU remains one of the last undefeated in county and ranked in the top 30 in the country in both scoring offense and defense. South Florida could be in for another long year however, they were able to keep the games against Kentucky, Sothern Carolina, and Seton Hall all within 21 points, and I just think this is just too many points for SMU to cover. Take South Florida and the points. 

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South Florida Bulls +25.5

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