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Georgia State vs. Troy - 1/7/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Troy Trojans (5-8) at Georgia State Panthers (8-3)

College Basketball: Thursday, January 7, 2016 at 7:30 pm (GSU Sports Arena)

The Line: Georgia State Panthers -10.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The Troy Trojans will travel to GSU Arena to take on the Georgia State Panthers this Thursday night in College Basketball action.

The Troy Trojans lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 5-8 (0-2 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans, 67-61, this past Saturday. Troy build up a 34-29 halftime lead in this one but couldn’t hang on for the win after allowing Arkansas-Little Rock to shoot 54.5% from the floor in the 2nd half. Troy shot 34.5% from the field and 41.7% (10-24) from beyond the arc in the loss. The Trojans allowed Arkansas-Little Rock to shoot 44.2% from the field and was outrebounded by Arkansas-Little Rock by a 40-35 margin. Leading the way for Troy was Jordon Varnado who had 18 points, 9 rebounds, 2 blocks, and a steal. On the season, the Trojans have been led by Wesley Person (17.4 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.1 apg), Jordon Varnado (17.3 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.2 bpg), and Jeremy Hollimon (12.5 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.2 apg). Offensively, Troy is averaging 75.8 ppg on 42.7% shooting from the field and 42.6% shooting from beyond the arc. The Trojans average 7.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.05. Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 76.3 ppg on 42.6% shooting. The Trojans have a rebound margin of -1.6 and a turnover margin of 1.3.

Georgia State vs. Troy - 1/7/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Georgia State Panthers improved to 8-3 (1-1 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Texas State Bobcats, 58-46, this past Saturday. Georgia State was outstanding defensively in the game and used an 8-0 run early in the 2nd half to take control of the game and secure the win. Georgia State shot 52.3% from the field and 40.0% (6-15) from beyond the arc in the victory. The Panthers held the Bobcats to 31.4% shooting from the field and 15.0% (3-20) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Georgia State was Jeremy Hollowell who had 18 points, 2 rebounds, 1 assists, and a steal. On the season, the Panthers have been led by Jeremy Hollowell (14.6 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.5 spg), Kevin Ware (12.7 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 2.9 apg), and Markus Crider (9.5 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.1 spg). Offensviely, Georgia State is averaging 66.3 ppg on 46.8% shooting from the field and 32.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Panthers average 4.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.09. Defensively, Georgia State is holding their opponents to an average of 60.5 ppg on 38.8% shooting. The Panthers have a rebound margin of -4.7 and a turnover margin of 3.2.

The Trojans are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games however, just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Sun Belt opponents. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 however,  just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Troy might be only 5-8 on the season but the Trojans have played much better than many expected and have been competitive as 5 of their 8 losses have come by 6 points or less. Georgia State no longer has the offensive weapons in R.J. Hunter and Ryan Harrow however, has one of the best defensives in the country as they rank 11th in college basketball in scoring defense and 33rd in defensive FG %. Troy has demonstrated this season that they can keep the score close against better teams and as the Trojans were able to put up 60+ points against Arkansas-Little Rock (ranked 1st in scoring defense at 55.6 ppg), I think the Trojans will be able to do enough to keep this one with the large spread. Take Troy to cover. 

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Troy Trojans +10.5

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