Iowa State vs. Baylor - 1/9/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baylor Bears (11-3) at Iowa State Cyclones (12-2)
College Basketball: Saturday, January 9, 2016 at 3:00 pm (Hilton Coliseum)
The Line: Iowa State Cyclones -7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The Baylor Bears will travel to Hilton Coliseum to take on the 13th ranked Iowa State Cyclones this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Baylor Bears improved to 11-3 (1-1 Big 12) on the season after defeating the Oklahoma State Cowboys, 79-62, this past Tuesday. Baylor dominated on the glass in the victory and had little trouble securing the victory after taking a 45-33 halftime lead. Baylor shot 45.0% from the field and 87.5% (21-24) from the free-throw line in the victory. The Bears allowed the Cowboys to shoot 47.1% from the field and outrebounded Oklahoma State by an amazing 44-18 margin. Leading the way for Baylor was Rico Gathers who had a double-double with 17 points and 17 rebounds. On the season, the Bears have been led by Taurean Prince (15.5 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.7 spg), Rico Gathers (14.1 ppg, 11.3 rpg, 1.0 bpg), and Al Freeman (13.2 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.9 apg). Offensively, Baylor is averaging 81.0 ppg on 46.7% shooting from the field and 35.5% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bears average 6.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.74. Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 65.9 ppg on 42.0% shooting from the field. The Bears have a rebound margin of 11.4 and a turnover margin of 2.3.
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The 13th ranked Iowa State Cyclones improved to 12-2 (1-1 Big 12) on the season after defeating the Texas Tech Red Raiders, 76-69, this past Wednesday. Iowa State was able to go up by a 40-30 margin at halftime and got a couple big three-pointers towards the end of the game to hold of the Red Raiders. Iowa State shot just 39.7% from the field but did make 36.4% (8-22) of their three-pointers. The Cyclones allowed the Red Raiders to shoot 43.3% from the field but just 13.3% (2-15) from three-point range. Leading the way for Iowa State was Jameel McKay who had a double-double with 19 points, 14 rebounds, 4 blocks, and an assist. On the season, the Cyclones have been led by Georges Niang (19.2 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 3.1 apg), Jameel McKay (14.4 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 1.6 bpg), and Monte Morris (13.8 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 7.4 apg, 2.3 spg). Offensively, Iowa State is averaging 85.1 ppg on 50.1% shooting from the field and 42.3% shooting from beyond the arc. The Cyclones average 8.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.58. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing their opponents to average 72.3 ppg on 42.3% shooting from the field. The Cyclones have a rebound margin of 3.2 and a turnover margin of 2.9.
The Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Cyclones are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games.
Baylor has been impressive this on both sides of the ball but has struggled in its big road games this season as they lost by 19 at Texas A&M and 28 at Kansas. Iowa State has some of the best players in the Big 12 in Georges Niang, Jameel McKay, and Monte Morris, however has a very thin bench since losing Nazareth Mitrou-Long for the season. Hilton Coliseum is a tough place to play but Baylor was able to pick up a 79-70 victory at Iowa State last season and as I think that the Iowa State big men could get in some foul trouble against the Bears, I think Baylor will be able to do enough offensively to cover with the points. Take Baylor to cover.