Louisiana-Monroe vs. Troy - 1/21/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Troy Trojans (6-11) at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-11)
College Basketball: Thursday, January 21, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Fant-Ewing Coliseum)
The Line: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks -7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Troy Trojans will travel to Fant-Ewing Coliseum to take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The Troy Trojans snapped their six game losing streak and improved to 6-11 (1-5 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Texas State Bobcats, 66-57, this past Saturday. Troy held a 56-51 lead late in the game in this one and used an 8-3 run to put the Bobcats away to pick up their first conference win of the season. Troy shot 49.0% from the field and 35.3% (6-17) from beyond the arc in the victory. The Trojans held the Bobcats to 42.3% shooting from the field and outrebounded Texas State by a 38-23 margin. Leading the way for Troy was Wesley Person who had 23 points, 2 rebounds, and 3 assists. On the season, the Bobcats have been led by Wesley Person (17.4 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 1.8 apg), Jordon Varnado (15.9 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 1.1 bpg), and Jeremy Hollimon (11.8 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.4 spg). Offensviely, Troy is averaging 74.8 ppg on 42.6% shooting from the field and 32.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Trojans average 7.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.02. Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 76.7 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field. The Trojans average 7.4 steals per game and have a round margin of -0.7.
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The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 6-11 (2-4 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Georgia Southern Eagles, 66-51, this past Saturday. Louisiana-Monroe fell behind by a 32-21 margin by halftime and couldn’t get any closer than four points in the 2nd half in the loss. Louisiana-Monroe struggled offensively as they shot just 30.5% from the field and 25.0% (7-28) from beyond the arc. The Warhawks allowed the Eagles to shoot 42.0% from the field and 36.4% (8-22) from three-point range. Leading the way for Louisiana-Monroe was Justin Roberson who had 20 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, and 3 steals. On the season, the Warhawks have been led by Majok Deng (18.5 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.2 bpg), Justin Roberson (10.8 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.7 spg), and Travis Munnings (9.6 ppg, 7.1 rpg, 1.8 apg). Offensviely, Louisiana-Monroe is averaging 68.2 ppg on 43.7% shooting from the field and 31.0% shooting from beyond the arc. The Warhawks average 5.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.92. Defensively, Louisiana-Monroe is holding their opponents to an average of 69.0 ppg on 40.2% shooting. The Warhawks have a rebound margin of 3.7 and a turnover margin of -2.6.
The Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Warhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Troy wasn’t expected to have a great year in the Sun Belt conference this season and although they have just a 1-5 conference record, the Trojans have been competitive with close losses to some of the top teams in the Sun Belt (Arkansas-Little Rock, Arkansas St. & Georgia St.). Louisiana-Monroe was hoping to build momentum after a solid 2014-15 season, however, their offense has struggled and is currently averaging just 62.8 ppg in conference play. Louisiana-Monroe will be happy to be back at home after losing their past four games on the road and I think that their defense will limit Wesley Person tonight while their offense does just enough to cover this spread. Take Louisiana-Monroe to cover.