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Wright State vs. Valparaiso - 1/22/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Valparaiso Crusaders (16-3) at Wright State Raiders (11-8)

College Basketball: Friday, January 22, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Nutter Center)

The Line: Wright State Raiders +8.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The Valparaiso Crusaders will travel to the Nutter Center to take on the Wright State Raiders this Friday night in College Basketball action.

The Valparaiso Crusaders won their 6th straight game and improved to 16-3 (6-0 Horizon) on the season after defeating the Youngstown State Penguins, 96-65, this past Monday. Valparaiso made quick work with Youngstown State and had no problem picking up the victory after gaining a 52-28 lead at halftime. Valparaiso shot 47.2% from the field and 94.7% (18-19) from the FT line in the win. The Crusaders held the Penguins to 41.4% shooting from the field and outrebounded Youngstown State by a 51-20 margin. Leading the way for Valparaiso was Alec Peters who had 18 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 assists. On the season, the Crusaders have been led by Alec Peters (17.5 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 1.2 apg), and Tevonn Walker (11.7 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.1 spg), and Keith Carter (9.1 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.6 spg). Offensively, Valparaiso is averaging 75.7 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field and 37.1% shooting from beyond the arc. The Crusaders average 7.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.02. Defensively, Valparaiso is holding their opponents to 60.0 ppg on 37.1% shooting from the field. The Crusaders have a rebound margin of 9.5 and average 7.5 steals per game.

Wright State vs. Valparaiso - 1/22/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Wright State Raiders won their 4th straight game and improved to 11-8 (5-1 Horizon) on the season after defeating the Detroit Titans, 77-76, this past Monday. Wright State was down as many as 14 points in the 2nd half but was able to take the lead after a Grant Benzinger three-pointer with 18 seconds left and held on for the win. Wright State shot 41.1% from the field and 33.3% (7-21) from beyond the arc. The Raiders allowed the Titans to shoot 50.0% from the field and outrebounded Detroit by a 38-28 margin. Leading the way for Wright State was Mark Alstork who had 21 points, 2 rebounds, 2 steals, and an assist. On the season, the Raiders have been led by Mark Alstork (12.4 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.3 apg), JT Yoho (11.9 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 2.5 apg), and Joe Thomasson (9.8 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 3.6 apg). Offensively, Wright State is averaging 66.6 ppg on 43.2% shooting from the field and 36.2% from beyond the arc. The Raiders average 7.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.12. Defensively, Wright State is holding their opponents to an average of 63.8 ppg on 41.7% shooting. The Raiders have a rebound margin of -1.6 and a turnover margin of 1.5.

The Crusaders are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win and 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Horizon League opponents. The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Valparaiso have been dominant so far in Horizon League play this season as they have beaten their first six conference opponents by an average of 20.2 ppg. Wright State has won 8 of their last 9 games including an impressive road victory over the Milwaukee Panthers to kick off conference play. Valparaiso and Wright State have probably the two best defenses in the horizon as Valparaiso ranks 4th in the country in scoring defense while Wright State ranks 26th, however, I just don’t think the Raiders offense will be able to do enough against the Crusaders defense to keep this one close. I think Valparaiso continues their winning ways in the Horizon and gets another double-digit win in this one. Take Valparaiso to cover. 

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Valparaiso Crusaders -8.5

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