Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Troy - 1/23/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Troy Trojans (6-12) at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns (8-8)
College Basketball: Saturday, January 23, 2016 at 6:15 pm (Cajundome)
The Line: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns -13.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Troy Trojans will travel to the Cajundome to take on the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The Troy Trojans dropped to 6-12 (1-6 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks, 85-74, this past Thursday. Louisiana Monroe used a 13-2 run at the end of the first half to take a 40-30 halftime lead and led by double-digits in the majority of the 2nd half. Troy shot 52.1% from the field however, committed 14 turnovers in the loss. The Trojans allowed the Warhawks to shoot 58.9% from the field and 43.5% (10-23) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Troy was Jeremy Hollimon who had 26 points, 3 rebounds, 4 assists, and a steal. On the season, the Trojans have been led by Wesley Person (16.8 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.8 apg), Jordon Varnado (15.7 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.1 bpg), and Jeremy Hollimon (12.6 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.4 spg). Offensively, Troy is averaging 74.7 ppg on 43.0% shooting from the field and 32.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Trojans average 7.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.02. Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 77.2 ppg on 44.4% shooting. The Trojans average 7.2 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 0.2.
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The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns won their 3rd straight game and improved to 8-8 (4-3 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the South Alabama Jaguars, 92-82, this past Thursday. Louisiana Lafayette allowed South Alabama to hang around with them as they had just a two point lead at halftime, however, the Ragin Cajuns used a 14-2 run early in the 2nd half to take control of the game and gain the victory. Louisiana Lafayette shot 44.4% from the field and won the turnover battle by a 21-17 margin. The Ragin Cajuns allowed the Jaguars to shoot 58.5% from the field and outrebounded South Alabama by a 34-27 margin. Leading the way for Louisiana Lafayette was Kasey Shepherd who had 27 points, 3 rebounds, 2 steals, and an assist. On the season, the Ragin Cajuns have been led by Shawn Long (18.6 ppg, 12.5 rpg, 1.6 bpg), Kasey Shepherd (12.4 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.8 spg), and Jay Wright (9.4 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.6 apg). Offensviely, Louisiana Lafayette is averaging 81.6 ppg on 44.4% shooting from the field and 29.3% shooting from beyond the arc. The Ragin Cajuns average 6.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.00. Defensively, Louisiana Lafayette is allowing their opponents to average 75.5 ppg on 43.6% shooting. The Ragin Cajuns average 7.1 steals per game and have a rebound margin of 7.6.
The Trojans are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Sun Belt opponents and just 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 Saturday games. The Ragin Cajuns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Troy continues to struggle to find ways of stopping opposing teams as they currently rank 288th in the country in scoring defense and in their last three losses have allowed an average of 89.3 ppg. Louisiana Lafayette has had an up and down year to date but recently has started to play to their potential including an impressive 87-54 win at Georgia State about a week ago. Louisiana Lafayette has one of the better players in the country in Shawn Long and as the Ragin Cajuns high tempo offensive should have no problem putting points on the board, I expect Louisiana Lafayette to cover this spread in a high scoring affair. Take Louisiana Lafayette to cover.