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Louisiana-Monroe vs. Texas State - 1/30/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas State Bobcats (9-8) at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (9-11)

College Basketball: Saturday, January 30, 2016 at 3:00 pm (Fant-Ewing Coliseum)

The Line: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks -6.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

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The Texas State Bobcats will travel to Fant-Ewing Coliseum to take on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The Texas State Bobcats dropped to 9-8 (3-5 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns, 80-54, this past Thursday. Texas State couldn’t slow down the fast paced Louisiana Lafayette offense and couldn’t get any closer than 8-points in the 2nd half. Texas State struggled offensively as they shot just 38.0% from the field and 23.1% (3-13) from beyond the arc. The Bobcats allowed the Ragin Cajuns to shoot 51.9% from the field and was outrebounded by Louisiana Lafayette by a 44-18 margin. Leading the way for Texas State was Ojai Black who had 14 points, 3 rebounds, 5 assists, and 4 steals. On the season, the Bobcats have been led by Kavin Gilder-Tilbury (12.8 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.2 spg), Emani Gant (12.3 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 1.1 apg), and Ethan Montalvo (10.9 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.3 spg). Offensively, Texas State is averaging 67.6 ppg on 42.8% shooting from the field and 34.6% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bobcats average 4.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.92. Defensively, Texas State is holding their opponents to average 63.2 ppg on 42.7% shooting. The Bobcats average 6.8 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 3.6.

Louisiana-Monroe vs. Texas State - 1/30/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks won their 3rd straight game and improved to 9-11 (5-4 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the UT-Arlington Mavericks, 99-88, this past Thursday. Louisiana Monroe held a 43-36 lead at halftime and got a huge performance from three-point range by Majok Deng to hold off the Mavericks in the victory. Louisiana Monroe was outstanding offensively as they shot 54.0% from the field and 50.0% (15-30) from beyond the arc. The Warhawks held the Mavericks to 42.7% shooting from the field and won the turnover battle by a 13-10 margin. Leading the way for Louisiana Monroe was Majok Deng who had 29 points, 4 rebounds, 5 blocks, 2 assists, and a steal. On the season, the Warhawks have been led by Majok Deng (19.9 ppg, 7.1 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.6 bpg), Justin Roberson (12.9 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.7 spg), and Nick Coppola (9.9 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 5.1 apg). Offensively, Louisiana Monroe is averaging 72.2 ppg on 45.5% shooting from the field and 33.8% shooting from beyond the arc. The Warhawks average 6.0 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.07. Defensively, Louisiana Monroe is allowing their opponents to average of 70.2 ppg on 40.9% shooting. The Warhawks have a rebound margin of 3.4 and a turnover margin of -1.6.

The Bobcats are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. The Warhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. Sun Belt opponents.

Texas State needs to rely on their defense to be competitive however, it’s really hard to trust the Bobcats offensive as in conference road games this season, Texas State is averaging just 61.25 ppg. Louisiana Monroe lost four straight road games in the beginning of conference play but has been solid at home, winning their last three home games by an average of 18.0 ppg. Texas State certainly had the ability to slow down the Warhawks offense, however, I just don’t see the Bobcats scoring enough to keep up with Louisiana Monroe and I think the Warhawks cover this spread at home. Take Louisiana Monroe to cover. 

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Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks -6.5

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