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UC Davis vs. Cal Poly - 1/30/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cal Poly Mustangs (8-11) at UC Davis Aggies (8-11)

College Basketball: Saturday, January 30, 2016 at 8:30 pm (UC Davis Pavilion)

The Line: UC Davis Aggies +4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: www.bigwest.org/tv/

The Cal Poly Mustangs and UC Davis Aggies square off Saturday night at The Pavilion.

The Cal Poly Mustangs need a win after losing five of their last seven games. The Cal Poly Mustangs are averaging 76.1 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowing 78.6 points on 46.5 percent shooting. David Nwaba is averaging 11.9 points and 4.2 assists while Reese Morgan is averaging 10.2 points and 3.2 rebounds. Joel Awich is grabbing 4.6 rebounds and Ridge Shipley is dishing 2.3 assists. The Cal Poly Mustangs are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 67.2 percent from the free throw line. The Mustangs are allowing 38.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game. The Cal Poly Mustangs have lost 14 of their last 17 road games.

UC Davis vs. Cal Poly - 1/30/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The UC Davis Aggies look for a victory after splitting their last eight games. The UC Davis Aggies are averaging 65.5 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 66.8 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Josh Fox is averaging 14.5 points and 6.8 rebounds while Siler Schneider is averaging 10.5 points and 2.2 assists. Brynton Lemar is dishing 3.4 rebounds and Darius Graham is dishing 2.4 assists. The UC Davis Aggies are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 62.1 percent from the free throw line. The Aggies are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game. The UC Davis Aggies have won 15 of their last 18 home games.

The Mustangs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. The Aggies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 Saturday games and 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The Mustangs are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

UC Davis has beaten Cal Poly in each of the last four meetings, and I'm not a fan of laying chalk with a team that's struggling. I'll gladly take the Aggies and the free points here. 

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UC Davis Aggies +4.5

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