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Valparaiso vs. Youngstown State - 1/30/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Youngstown State Penguins (9-13) at Valparaiso Crusaders (18-4)

College Basketball: Saturday, January 30, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)

The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders -21.5 -- Over/Under: 144 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The Youngstown State Penguins will travel to the Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Crusaders this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The Youngstown State Penguins won their 2nd straight game and improved to 9-13 (4-5 Horizon) on the season after defeating the UIC Flames, 82-78, this past Thursday. Youngstown State was able to build a 49-31 halftime lead and was able to hang on for the victory after the Flames made a strong push in the 2nd half. Youngstown State shot 40.8% from the field and 51.9% (14-27) from beyond the arc in the victory. The Penguins held the Flames to 26.3% (5-19) from three-point range and was outrebounded by UIC by a 51-41 margin. Leading the way for Youngstown State was Cameron Morse who had 22 points, 5 rebounds, 8 assists, and a steal. On the season, the Penguins have been led by Cameron Morse (18.9 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 1.7 spg), Matt Donlan (13.3 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.3 apg), and Bobby Hain (12.4 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 2.5 apg). Offensively, Youngstown State is averaging 74.8 ppg on 42.6% shooting from the field and 36.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Penguins average 8.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.21. Defensively, Youngstown State is allowing their opponents to average 81.0 ppg on 45.9% shooting. The Penguins average 7.6 steals per game and have a rebound margin of -7.7.

Valparaiso vs. Youngstown State  - 1/30/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Valparaiso Crusaders won their 2nd straight game and improved to 18-4 (8-1 Horizon) on the season after defeating the Cleveland State Vikings, 77-52, this past Thursday. Cleveland State struggled offensively against the talented Valparaiso defense, and the Crusaders had a little issue cruising to victory after getting a 13-point lead at halftime. Valparaiso shot 50.0% from the field and 45.8% (11-24) from beyond the arc in the victory. The Crusaders held the Vikings to 40.9% shooting from the field and outrebounded Cleveland State by a 41-22 margin. Leading the way for Valparaiso was Alec Peters who had 18 points, 6 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal. On the season, the Crusaders have been led by Alec Peters (17.1 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.1 apg), Tevonn Walker (10.9 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.1 spg), and Keith Carter (9.1 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.2 apg). Offensively, Valparaiso is averaging 74.9 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field and 35.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Crusaders average 7.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.02. Defensively, Valparaiso is holding their opponents to an average of 59.6 ppg on 37.2% shooting from the field. The Crusaders have a rebound margin of 10.2 and average 7.4 steals per game.

The Penguins are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 away games and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Crusaders are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Youngstown State likes to keep the tempo at a fast pace and although they can put up points in a hurry, they’ve really struggled on the defensive end this season as they rank 332nd in the country in scoring defense and 304th in defensive FG %. Valparaiso has rebounded from their first conference lost to Wright State with convincing victories over Northern Kentucky and Cleveland State and have one of the best defenses in the country. Valparaiso should be able to pick up an easy win in this one however, this is a huge number to cover and I think the Penguins will score enough in this one to cover with the points. Take Youngstown State and the points. 

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Youngstown State Penguins +21.5

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