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Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Troy - 2/4/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Troy Trojans (6-15) at Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (19-2)

College Basketball: Thursday, February 4, 2016 at 8:15 pm (Jack Stephens Center)

The Line: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans -18 -- Over/Under: 134.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The Troy Trojans will travel to the Jack Stephens Center to take on the Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans this Thursday night in College Basketball action.

The Troy Trojans lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 6-15 (1-9 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Appalachian State Mountaineers, 75-71, this past Thursday. Troy was able to fight back from an 8-point deficit in the 2nd half however, couldn’t stop Frank Eaves of the Mountaineers late in the game in the loss. Troy shot 37.7% from the field and 45.5% (5-11) from beyond the arc. The Trojans allowed the Mountaineers to shoot 48.1% from the field and 57.1% (8-14) from three-point range. Leading the way for Troy was John Walton III who had a double-double with 18 points, 11 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals. On the season, the Trojans have been led by Wesley Person (16.7 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 1.7 apg), Jordon Varnado (15.1 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.1 apg), and Jeremy Hollimon (12.0 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.3 spg). Offensively, Troy is averaging 73.3 ppg on 42.7% shooting from the field and 32.8% shooting from beyond the arc. The Trojans average 7.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.99. Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 77.0 ppg on 45.0% shooting. The Trojans average 7.0 steals per game and have a rebound margin of -1.0.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Troy - 2/4/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans won their 4th straight game and improved to 19-2 (9-1 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Georgia State Panthers, 63-53, this past Saturday. Arkansas-Little Rock used a 20-7 run in the 1st half to take a 37-28 lead at halftime and was able to hang on in the 2nd half for the win. Arkansas-Little Rock shot 45.1% from the field and outrebounded Georgia State by a 35-28 margin. The Trojans held the Panthers to shoot 39.1% from the field and 23.1% (3-13) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Arkansas-Little Rock was Roger Woods who had 16 points, 6 rebounds, and an assist. On the season, the Trojans have been led by Marcus Johnson Jr. (13.0 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 1.6 apg), Josh Hagins (12.5 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 4.8 apg, 1.5 spg), and Jalen Jackson (8.8 ppg, 2.3 rpg). Offensively, Arkansas-Little Rock is averaging 70.2 ppg on 43.7% shooting from the field and 36.9% shooting from beyond the arc. The Trojans average 7.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.19. Defensively, Arkansas-Little Rock is holding their opponents to an average of 58.3 ppg on 37.4% shooting. The Trojans average 6.7 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 4.1.

The Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 however, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Arkansas-Little Rock is 20-6 ATS in their last 26 Thursday games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.

First year head coach Chris Beard has done an outstanding job with Arkansas-Little Rock this season as Arkansas-Little Rock has already surpassed their conference win total from last season. Troy has struggled in Sun Belt play but do have a few threats on the offensive end in Wesley Person and Jordon Varnado. Arkansas-Little Rock has the top-ranked scoring defense in the country however, they’ve only defeated their past four opponents by an average of 8 ppg and I think Troy will be able to get just enough offense to be able to cover with this large amount of points. I’m taking Troy and the points. 

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Troy Trojans +18

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