Georgia State vs. Texas-Arlington - 2/6/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas-Arlington Mavericks (14-7) at Georgia State Panthers (13-7)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 6, 2016 at 2:30 pm (GSU Sports Arena)
The Line: Georgia State Panthers -1.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The UT-Arlington Mavericks will travel to GSU Sports Arena to take on the Georgia State Panthers this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The UT-Arlington Mavericks lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 14-7 (5-5 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Georgia Southern Eagles, 82-73, this past Thursday. UT-Arlington was able to get a 34-27 halftime lead but struggled defensively the rest of the way and was outscored by the Eagles by a 55-39 margin in the second-half in the loss. UT-Arlington shot 46.6% from the field and 29.4% (5-17) from beyond the arc. The Mavericks allowed the Eagles to shoot 45.5% from the field and outrebounded Georgia Southern by a 37-29 margin. Leading the way for UT-Arlington was Jalen Jones who had 24 points, 5 rebounds, 3 steals, and an assist. On the season, the Mavericks have been led by Kevin Hervey (18.1 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 2.9 apg), Erick Neal (13.8 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 6.1 apg), and Jalen Jones (12.0 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 1.3 apg). Offensively, UT-Arlington is averaging 80.8 ppg on 41.8% shooting from the field and 33.1% shooting from beyond the arc. The Mavericks average 9.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.27. Defensively, UT-Arlington is allowing their opponents to average 70.0 ppg on 40.8% shooting. The Mavericks average 8.3 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 2.4.
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The Georgia State Panthers snapped their three game losing streak and improved to 13-7 (6-5 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Texas State Bobcats, 59-56, this past Thursday. Georgia State used a 13-0 run in the 2nd half to take the lead and was able to hang on the victory with a few key throws late in the game. Georgia State shot 45.7% shooting from the field and 40.0% (4-10) from beyond the arc. The Panthers allowed the Bobcats to shoot 43.5% shooting from the field and forced Texas State to commit 14 turnovers. Leading the way for Georgia State was Markus Crider who had 24 points and 4 rebounds. On the season, the Panthers have been led by Jeremy Hollowell (14.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 1.9 apg), Kevin Ware (13.0 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.4 spg), and Markus Crider (9.0 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 1.0 apg). Offensively, Georgia State is averaging 65.4 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field and 33.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Panthers average 4.8 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.94. Defensively, Georgia State is holding their opponents to an average of 63.1 ppg on 40.1% shooting. The Panthers have a rebound margin of -3.8 and a turnover margin of 2.2.
The Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record however, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
The UT-Arlington Mavericks were able to pick up some big wins early in the season against Ohio State and Memphis but have struggled recently in Sun Belt play as during their 4-game losing streak they are allowing their opponents to average 84.75 ppg. Georgia State has also struggled as of late losing three of their last four games and have had trouble scoring the basketball this season as they rank just 316th in the country in scoring offense. Georgia State has a 10-1 record at home but haven’t done well against the spread at home and I think the Mavericks offense will be able to find enough answers to the Panthers defense to get a big road win. Take UT-Arlington and the points.