West Virginia vs. Baylor - 2/6/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baylor Bears (17-5) at West Virginia Mountaineers (18-4)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 6, 2016 at 8:00 pm (WVU Colliseum)
The Line: West Virginia Mountaineers -6.5 -- Over/Under: 147 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The 15th ranked Baylor Bears will travel to WVU Coliseum to take on the 14th ranked West Virginia Mountaineers this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The 15th ranked Baylor Bears had their two game winning streak snapped and fell to 17-5 (6-3 Big 12) on the season after being defeated by the Texas Longhorns, 67-59, this past Monday. Baylor had trouble with the much improved Texas defense and couldn’t gain the lead once in the 2nd half after being down 35-29 at halftime. Baylor shot just 35.2% from the field and 29.4% (5-17) from beyond the arc in the loss. The Bears allowed the Longhorns to shoot 47.7% from the field and 47.1% (8-17) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Baylor was Rico Gathers who had 20 points, 8 rebounds, and 3 steals. On the season, the Bears have been led by Taurean Prince (15.1 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.6 spg), Rico Gathers (13.0 ppg, 10.4 rpg, 1.0 spg), and Al Freeman (11.8 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 1.9 apg). Offensively, Baylor is averaging 78.9 ppg on 47.2% shooting from the field and 36.3% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bears average 6.2 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.59. Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 67.5 ppg on 43.9% shooting. The Bears have a rebound margin of 9.6 and average 8.4 steals per game.
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The 14th ranked West Virginia Mountaineers was able to rebound from their lost to Florida last weekend to defeat the 13th ranked Iowa State Cyclones, 81-76, this past Tuesday. West Virginia fell behind early in this one but used a big 2nd half in which they outscored Iowa State by a 48-39 margin to complete the comeback victory. West Virginia shot 48.4% from the field and outrebounded Iowa State by a 43-26 margin. The Mountaineers allowed the Cyclones to shoot 48.2% from the field and 50.0% (11-22) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for West Virginia was Devin Williams who had a double-double with 17 points, 18 rebounds, and 2 assists. On the season, the Mountaineers have been led by Jaysean Paige (14.0 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.5 spg), Devin Williams (13.2 ppg, 8.9 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Jevon Carter (10.4 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 3.3 apg, 1.8 spg). Offensively, West Virginia is averaging 81.0 ppg on 46.0% shooting from the field and 31.1% shooting form beyond the arc. The Mountaineers average 5.8 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.04. Defensively, West Virginia is holding their opponents to average 65.2 ppg on 41.9% shooting. The Mountaineers average 10.6 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 4.7.
The Bears are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Mountaineers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big 12 and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games.
Baylor has been solid on both sides of the ball this season but outside of their win on the road against Iowa State, hasn’t been able to beat the better teams in the Big 12 this season. West Virginia once again leads the country in steals per game and although they can struggle shooting from the field, they have been able to generate enough points off turnovers to be tied with Oklahoma at the top of the Big 12 standings. Baylor has some great size down low however, Devin Williams should be able to neutralize Rico Gathers and I think the Mountaineers will be able to do enough on the offensive end to cover this spread. Take West Virginia to cover.