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East Tennessee State vs. Chattanooga - 2/13/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Chattanooga Moccasins (22-4) at East Tennessee State Buccaneers (16-9)

College Basketball: Saturday, February 13, 2016 at 4:00 pm (Freedom Hall Civic Center)

The Line: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Fox Sports - Southeast; ESPN College Extra

The Chattanooga Mocs will travel to the Freedom Hall Civic Center to take on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The Chattanooga Mocs had their nine game winning streak snapped and dropped to 22-4 (11-2 Southern) on the season after being upset by the Western Carolina Catamounts, 67-61, this past Thursday. Chattanooga struggled offensively in the first half putting up just 19 points by halftime and although they the Mocs was able to get the Catamounts lead down to 4 points late, they couldn’t complete the comeback. Chattanooga shot 40.4% from the field and committed 26 turnovers in the loss. The Mocs allowed the Catamounts to shoot 50.0% from the field and 23.1% (3-13) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Chattanooga was Tre’ McLean who had 10 points, 8 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals, and 2 blocks. On the season, the Mocs have been led by Justin Tuoyo (12.0 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 2.3 bpg), Tre McLean (11.7 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.6 spg), and Greg Pryor (10.2 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 3.7 apg). Offensively, Chattanooga is averaging 77.1 ppg on 46.8% shooting from the field and 37.6% shooting from beyond the arc. The Mocs average 7.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.21. Defensively, Chattanooga is holding their opponents to an average of 66.8 ppg on 42.8% shooting. The Mocs have a rebound margin of 3.4 and a turnover margin of 1.8.

East Tennessee State vs. Chattanooga - 2/13/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers won their 3rd straight game and improved to 16-9 (9-3 Southern) on the season after defeating the Samford Bulldogs, 94-90 in OT, this past Thursday. East Tennessee State allowed Samford to overcome a 44-33 halftime deficit to force OT however, was able to hang on after getting a big OT performance by Ge’Lawn Guyn. East Tennessee State shot 50.0% from the field and 55.0% (11-20) from beyond the arc. The Buccaneers allowed the Bulldogs to shoot 49.1% from the field and won the turnover battle by a 11-9 margin. Leading the way for East Tennessee State was Ge’Lawn Guyn who had 25 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, and 2 steals. On the season, the Buccaneers have been led by Ge’Lawn Guyn (17.6 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.1 spg), T.J. Cromer (15.8 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.0 spg), and A.J. Merriweather (8.8 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.1 apg). Offensively, East Tennessee State is averaging 78.6 ppg on 45.9% shooting from the field and 37.3% shooting from beyond the arc. The Buccaneers average 8.0 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.01. Defensively, East Tennessee State is allowing their opponents to average 74.7 ppg on 44.1% shooting. The Buccaneers average 3.7 blocks per game and 6.4 steals per game.

The Mocs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Buccaneers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss however, just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Chattanooga suffered a surprising loss to Western Carolina but I wouldn’t read too much into that loss as the Mocs are still the best team in the Southern and rank in the top-100 in the country in both scoring offense and defense. East Tennessee State will try to keep the tempo up in this one and although they certainly can light up a scoreboard, the Buccaneers rank just 249th in the country in scoring defense. East Tennessee State is an impressive 10-1 at home this season but as I don’t see the Mocs turning the ball over like they did against Western Carolina and for the fact they should be able to put up plenty of points, I’m taking Chattanooga to cover this small road spread. 

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Chattanooga Mocs -3.5

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