Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Arkansas-Little Rock - 2/13/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (21-3) at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns (14-8)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 13, 2016 at 5:15 pm (Cajundome)
The Line: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns -2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans will travel to the Cajundome to take on the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans had their six game winning streak snapped and dropped to 21-3 (11-2) on the season after being defeated by the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks, 86-82, this past Thursday. Arkansas-Little Rock came into the matchup with the top ranked scoring defense in the country by struggled defensively and allowed the Warhawks to be the first team to score over 80 points against them this season. Arkansas-Little Rock shot just 28.6% (6-21) from three-point range and was outrebounded by a 33-31 margin. The Trojans allowed the Warhawks to shoot 50.9% from the field and 53.3% (8-15) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Arkansas-Little Rock was Josh Hagins who had 19 points, 4 rebounds, 4 assists, and a steal. On the season, the Trojans have been led by Marcus Johnson Jr. (12.9 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 1.6 apg), Josh Hagins (12.7 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 4.8 apg, 1.5 spg), and Jalen Jackson (9.2 ppg, 2.2 rpg). Offensively, Arkansas-Little Rock is averaging 70.9 ppg on 44.6% shooting from the field and 37.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Trojans average 7.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.23. Defensively, Arkansas-Little Rock is holding their opponents to an average of just 58.4 ppg on 37.6% shooting. The Trojans average 6.9 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 4.0.
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The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns won their 9th straight game and improved to 14-8 (10-3 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 83-73, this past Thursday. Louisiana Lafayette was down early in the 2nd half but used a 20-9 run to take a 61-59 lead and was able to hang on for the win. Louisiana Lafayette shot 43.3% from the field and 39.1% (9-23) from beyond the arc. The Ragin Cajuns allowed the Red Wolves to shoot 43.9% from the field and outrebounded Arkansas State by a 41-30 margin. Leading the way for Louisiana Lafayette was Shawn Long who had a double-double with 17 points, 15 rebounds, 3 assists, and 3 blocks. On the season, the Ragin Cajuns have been led by Shawn Long (19.2 ppg, 13.0 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.9 bpg), Kasey Shepherd (11.3 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.5 spg), and Jay Wright (9.5 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.7 apg). Offensively, Louisiana Lafayette is averaging 82.1 ppg on 45.6% shooting from the field and 31.3% shooting from beyond the arc. The Ragin Cajuns average 6.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.99. Defensively, Louisiana Lafayette is allowing their opponents to average 73.5 ppg on 43.0% shooting. The Ragin Cajuns have a rebound margin of 8.3 and average 7.0 steals per game.
The Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS loss. The Ragin Cajuns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 Saturday games.
Arkansas-Little Rock is coming off their worst game of the season against Louisiana Monroe and will know need a win in this game to stay ahead of Louisiana Lafayette in the Sun Belt standings. Arkansas-Little Rock still have the highest ranked scoring defense however, Louisiana Lafayette is one of the better offensive teams in the country and has the best player in the conference in big man, Shawn Long. Arkansas-Little Rock has had an outstanding season to date but Louisiana Lafayette is a perfect 11-0 at home this season and I think the Ragin Cajuns will be able to get the victory in this one and cover the spread. Take Louisiana Lafayette to cover.