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Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggies - 2/18/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UC Davis Aggies (10-14) at Cal Poly Mustangs (9-15)

College Basketball: Thursday, February 18, 2016 at 10:00 pm (Mott Gymnasium)

The Line: Cal Poly Mustangs -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV:

The UC Davis Aggies will travel to play the Cal Poly Mustangs in a Big West game on Thursday.

The Cal Poly Mustangs are 9-15 (3-8) and are coming off of a win against UC Irvine by a score of 86-78. Cal Poly has lost 5 of their last 6 games and is currently 8th in the Big West standings. Cal Poly also has conference wins against Cal State Fullerton and Long Beach State. Cal Poly is averaging 74.5 points per game while giving up 76 points per game. Cal Poly is also averaging 36 rebounds per game and 14.8 assists per game. David Nwaba is averaging 12.5 points per game and 6.2 rebounds per game for for Cal Poly. Reese Morgan is averaging 10.5 points per game and 3.2 rebounds per game for the Mustangs. Cal Poly is shooting 68% on free throws, 36.1% on three-pointers, and 43.1% on all field goal attempts.

Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggies - 2/18/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The UC Davis Aggies are 10-14 (5-6) and are coming off of a loss to Long Beach State by a score of 57-48. UC Davis has lost 2 games in a row and is currently 5th in the Big West standings. UC Davis defeated Cal Poly by a score of 66-52 in these two teams first meeting of the season. UC Davis is averaging 63.8 points per game while giving up 65 points per game. UC Davis is also averaging 34.8 rebounds per game and 10.5 assists per game. Brynton Lemar is averaging 10 points per game and 3.2 rebounds per game for UC Davis. Josh Fox is averaging 14.2 points per game and 6.7 rebounds per game for the Aggies. UC Davis is shooting 64.3% on free throws, 34.8% on three-pointes, and 43.5% on all field goal attempts.

UC Davis is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games. UC Davis is 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games. The under is 5-1 in the UC Davis last 6 games. Cal Poly is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. Cal Poly is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. UC Davis is 5-0 ATS in these two teams last 5 meetings.

Cal Poly comes into this game struggling lately, while UC Davis has also lost 2 games in a row. Cal Poly has the home court advantage and is the higher scoring team in this matchup. UC Davis is a better defensive team, while Cal Poly allows 76 points per game. I like UC Davis to keep this close on the road. 

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UC Davis Aggies +8.5

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