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Valparaiso vs. Oakland - 2/19/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Oakland Grizzlies (19-9) at Valparaiso Crusaders (22-5)

College Basketball: Friday, February 19, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)

The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders -8.5 -- Over/Under: 152.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN U

The Oakland Golden Grizzlies will travel to the Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Crusaders this Friday night in College Basketball action.

The Oakland Golden Grizzlies won their 2nd straight game and improved to 19-9 (11-4 Horizon) on the season after defeating the Wright State Raiders, 89-73, this past Monday. Oakland had little trouble scoring on the usually tough Raiders defense and used a 12-0 run late in the 2nd half to take a 20-point lead and secure the win. Oakland shot 45.9% from the field and 57.9% (11-19) from beyond the arc. The Golden Grizzlies held the Raiders to 40.4% shooting from the field and outrebounded Wright State by a 38-28 margin. Leading the way for Oakland was Jalen Hayes who had a double-double with 17 points and 11 rebounds. On the season, the Golden Grizzlies have been Kahlil Felder (24.4 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 9.2 apg, 2.1 spg), Jalen Hayes (13.7 ppg, 8.6 rpg), and Percy Gibson (11.5 ppg, 6.2 rpg). Offensively, Oakland is averaging 87.2 ppg on 45.7% shooting from the field and 39.6% shooting from beyond the arc. The Golden Grizzlies average 9.0 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.36. Defensively, Oakland is allowing their opponents to average 79.3 ppg on 43.3% shooting. The Golden Grizzlies average 6.2 steals per game and have a rebound margin of 3.4.

Valparaiso vs. Oakland - 2/19/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Valparaiso Crusaders rebounded from their loss to Wright State to defeat the Cleveland State Vikings, 66-43, this past Tuesday to improve to 22-5 (12-2 Horizon). Valparaiso was outstanding on the defensive end in this one holding the Vikings to just 14 total FG’s in the game and had little trouble securing the win after taking a 29-17 halftime lead. Valparaiso shot 45.8% from the field and outrebounded Cleveland State by a 36-27 margin. The Crusaders held the Vikings to 28.6% shooting from the field and 46.2% (6-13) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Valparaiso was Alec Peters who had a double-double with 15 points, 10 rebounds, and a steal. On the season, the Crusaders have been led by Alec Peters (16.6 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 1.0 apg), Tevonn Walker (10.3 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.9 apg), and Keith Carter (9.3 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.5 spg). Offensively, Valparaiso is averaging 74.3 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field and 35.5% shooting from beyond the arc. The Crusaders average 7.8 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.07. Defensively, Valparaiso is holding their opponents to an average of 58.9 ppg on 37.1% shooting. The Crusaders have a rebound margin of 10.3 and a turnover margin of 0.7.

The Golden Grizzlies are 22-4-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up win and 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win. The Crusaders are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. Horizon League.

Oakland has one of the best players in the country in Kahlil Felder and although they've suffered some surprising losses to Youngstown State and Northern Kentucky, currently sit just 1.5 games behind Valparaiso for 1st place in the Horizon. Valparaiso continues to dominate everyone in the Horizon League outside of Wright State and has one of the best defenses in the country as they rank 2nd in both scoring defense and defensive FG%. Valparaiso hasn’t had any trouble this season against high-powered offenses and as their defense was able to get the Crusaders a 17-point victory at Oakland earlier in the season, I think the Crusaders will at worst be able to pick up a double-digit win in this one. Take Valparaiso to cover. 

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Valparaiso Crusaders -8.5

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