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Georgia State vs. Appalachian State - 2/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-21) at Georgia State Panthers (14-12)

College Basketball: Saturday, February 27, 2016 at 2:30 pm (GSU Sports Arena)

The Line: Georgia State Panthers -8.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The Appalachian State Mountaineers will travel to GSU Sports Arena to take on the Georgia State Panthers this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers dropped to 7-21 (5-12 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Georgia Southern Eagles, 88-63, this past Thursday. Appalachian State put up little fight in this one and didn’t have much change for a victory after falling behind 52-23 at halftime. Appalachian State struggled offensively as they shot just 29.0% from the field and 18.2% (6-33) from beyond the arc. The Mountaineers allowed the Eagles to shoot 51.5% from the field and 61.5% (16-26) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Appalachian State was Frank Eaves who had 13 points, 1 rebound, 1 assist, and a steal. On the season, the Mountaineers have been led by Frank Eaves (19.3 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 2.1 apg), Ronshad Shabazz (11.4 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.5 apg), and Chris Burgess (7.5 ppg, 1.3 rpg, 2.1 apg). Offensively, Appalachian State is averaging 70.3 ppg on 40.0% shooting from the field and 35.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Mountaineers average 8.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.75. Defensively, Appalachian State is allowing their opponents to average 77.8 ppg on 46.3% shooting. The Mountaineers have a rebound margin of -0.5 and a turnover margin of -4.1.

Georgia State vs. Appalachian State - 2/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Georgia State Panthers dropped to 14-12 (7-10 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Georgia Southern Eagles, 54-52, this past Tuesday. Georgia State had a 50-47 lead with just under four minutes left in the game but allowed Georgia Southern to go on a 6-0 run over the next three minutes to get the lead and win the game. Georgia State shot 39.6% from the field and 33.3% (6-18) from beyond the arc.  The Panthers held the Eagles to 34.7% shooting from the field and 24.1% (7-29) form three-point range. Leading the way for Georgia State was Isaiah Williams who had 22 points, 5 rebounds, and 2 steals. On the season, the Panthers have been led by Jeremy Hollowell (14.7 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.6 apg), Kevin Ware (12.2 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.3 spg), and Isaiah Williams (9.0 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 2.4 apg). Offensively, Georgia State is averaging 64.5 ppg on 43.4% shooting from the field and 32.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Panthers average 4.8 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.94. Defensively, Georgia State is holding their opponents to an average of 63.7 ppg on 43.4% shooting. The Panthers have a rebound margin of -4.1 and a turnover margin of 2.2.

The Mountaineers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. The Panthers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss and 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall.

Appalachian State has lost 7 of their last 8 games and have really struggled on the defensive end this season as they currently rank 302nd in the country in scoring defense and 313th in defensive FG%. Georgia State has really struggled on the offensive end as they rank 325th in the country in scoring offensive but they have been one of the better defensive teams this season and have been holding teams to just 60.2 ppg over their last five games. Both of these teams have struggled as of late and although Appalachian State is just 2-11 on the road, the Mountaineers were able to defeat the Panthers earlier this season at home and I think as the game will have a final score somewhere in the 60’s, I’m going to take Appalachian State and the points.  

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Appalachian State Mountaineers +8.5

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