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St. Bonaventure vs. UMass - 2/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Massachusetts Minutemen (12-15) at St. Bonaventure Bonnies (19-7)

College Basketball: Saturday, February 27, 2016 at 4:00 pm (Reilly Center)

The Line: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -11 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

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The UMass Minutemen will travel to the Reilly Center to take on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The UMass Minutemen dropped to 12-15 (5-10 A-10) on the season after being defeated by the Saint Joseph’s Hawks, 74-57, this past Wednesday. UMass was down by just a 35-31 margin at halftime but allowed Saint Joseph’s to go on a 15-7 run to start the second half and was down by pretty much double-digits the rest of the way. UMass shot 40.7% from the field and 9.1% (2-22) from beyond the arc. The Minutemen allowed the Hawks to shoot 45.5% (10-22) from three-point range and loss the turnover battle by a 13-10 margin. Leading the way for UMass was Jabarie Hinds who had 19 points, 4 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block, and a steal. On the season, the Minutemen have been led by Trey Davis (18.5 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 3.3 apg), Donte Clark (17.2 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 2.5 apg), and Jabarie Hinds (14.1 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 3.1 apg). Offensively, UMass is averaging 74.6 ppg on 42.9% shooting from the field and 32.8% shooting from beyond the arc. The Minutemen are averaging 7.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.13. Defensively, UMass is allowing their opponents to average 76.9 ppg on 43.6% shooting. The Minutemen have a rebound margin of -2.1 and a turnover margin of -0.3.

St. Bonaventure vs. UMass - 2/27/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The St. Bonaventure Bonnies won their 2nd straight game and improved to 19-7 (11-4 A-10) on the season after defeating the Duquesne Dukes, 80-76, this past Wednesday. St. Bonaventure was down by a 62-57 margin with just under 10 minutes to play in this one but was able to fight back and got key FT’s by Jaylen Adams and Dion Wright late in the game to secure the win. St. Bonaventure shot 39.7% from the field and won the turnover battle by a 15-7 margin. The Bonnies held the Dukes to 38.8% shooting and was outrebounded by Duquesne by a 48-37 margin. Leading the way for St. Bonaventure was Jaylen Adams who had 24 points, 3 rebounds, 5 assists, and 2 steals. On the season, the Bonnies have been led by Jaylen Adams (18.7 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 5.1 apg, 1.3 spg), Marcus Posey (18.2 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.3 spg), and Dion Wright (16.0 ppg, 8.9 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.1 spg). Offensively, St. Bonaventure is averaging 76.5 ppg on 43.7% shooting from the field and 36.6% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bonnies average 8.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.17. Defensively, St. Bonaventure is allowing their opponents to average 71.3 ppg on 42.9% shooting. The Bonnies have a rebound margin of -1.3 and a turnover margin of 2.1.

The Minutemen are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss however, just 7-17-2 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Bonnies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games.

UMass has played better as of late winning 3 of their last 5 games which included a shocking 69-63 victory at home over the VCU Rams, however, have struggled this year defensively as they rank 285th in scoring defense. St. Bonaventure has once again exceeded expectations this season and is led by the outstanding guard duo of Jaylen Adams and Marcus Posley. St. Bonaventure has a 12-2 record at home this season but they struggled a bit against Duquesne and as I think Jabarie Hinds and Trey Davis should be able to put up some points on the Bonnies defense, I’m taking UMass to cover with this large point spread. 

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UMass Minutemen +11.0

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