Green Bay vs. Valparaiso - 2/28/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Valparaiso Crusaders (25-5) at Wisc-Green Bay Phoenix (19-11)
College Basketball: Sunday, February 28, 2016 at 3:00 pm (Resch Center)
The Line: Wisc-Green Bay Phoenix +6 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Time Warner Cable Sports Channel – Wisconsin & Ohio / ESPN College Extra
The Valparaiso Crusaders will travel to the Resch Center to take on the Green Bay Phoenix this Sunday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Valparaiso Crusaders won their 4th straight game and improved 25-5 (15-2 Horizon) on the season after defeating the Milwaukee Panthers, 80-76 in OT, this past Friday. Valparaiso was able to fight back from a 38-33 deficit at halftime and got a few big plays from Keith Carter in the OT period to get out of Milwaukee with a win. Valparaiso shot 42.6% from the field and 46.4% (13-28) from beyond the arc but did lose the turnover battle by a 19-10 margin. The Crusaders held the Panthers to 38.7% shooting from the field and outrebounded Milwaukee by a 43-33 margin. Leading the way for Valparaiso was Alec Peters who had 23 points, 6 rebounds, and 2 assists. On the season, the Crusaders have been led by Alec Peters (17.3 ppg, 8.1 rpg, 1.1 apg), Tevonn Walker (9.9 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 1.8 apg), and Keith Carter (9.8 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.6 spg). Offensively, Valparaiso is averaging 75.4 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field and 36.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Crusaders average 8.0 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.09. Defensively, Valparaiso is holding their opponents to an average of 60.8 ppg on 37.9% shooting. The Crusaders have a rebound margin of 10.2 and average 7.1 steals per game.
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The Green Bay Phoenix won their 4th consecutive game and improved to 19-11 (11-6 Horizon) on the season after defeating the UIC Flames, 85-69, this past Friday. Green Bay was only up by a point at halftime but used a sold 17-7 run late in the 2nd half to get some separation and get the win. Green Bay shot 40.5% from the field and 29.0% (9-31) from beyond the arc. The Phoenix held the Flames to 40.0% shooting from the field and outrebounded UIC by a 52-34 margin. Leading the way for the Phoenix was Jordan Fouse who had a double-double with 14 points, 15 rebounds, 3 assists, 4 steals, and 2 blocks. On the season, the Phoenix have been led by Carrington Love (18.5 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.5 apg, 2.6 spg), Charles Cooper (13.7 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.1 spg), and Jordan Fouse (12.0 ppg, 8.6 rpg, 3.4 apg, 2.2 spg, 1.5 bpg). Offensively, Green Bay is averaging 85.6 ppg on 45.3% shooting from the field and 35.0% shooting from beyond the arc. The Phoenix average 7.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.18. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing their opponents to average 81.4 ppg on 45.8% shooting. The Phoenix have a rebound margin of -1.1 and average 10.0 steals per game.
The Crusaders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games however, just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Phoenix are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 home games and 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Valparaiso was able to hang on against Milwaukee and head into this game already knowing they will be the regular season Horizon League champions which is largely due to their defensive that ranks 7th in the country in scoring defense and 5th defensive FG%. Green Bay has one of the better offensives in the country but has been solid on the defense end as of last four game they are holding their opponents to 72 ppg which is almost 10 points less than their season average. Valparaiso is an outstanding team however, as they don’t have much to play for in this one outside of avoiding injuries, I think Green Bay will do enough at home to at worse keep this one within the number.