Tennessee State vs. Belmont - 2/28/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Belmont Bruins (20-9) at Tennessee State Tigers (19-9)
College Basketball: Sunday, February 28, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Gentry Complex)
The Line: Tennessee State Tigers +1.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Belmont Bruins will travel to the Gentry Center to take on the Tennessee State Tigers this Sunday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The Belmont Bruins won their 2nd straight game and improved to 20-9 (12-3 OVC) on the season after defeating the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles, 95-86, this past Saturday. Belmont was able to get up by a 44-32 margin at halftime and was able to hang on for the victory after the Golden Eagles got within 6-points late in the game. Belmont shot 50.0% from the field and 48.4% (15-31) in the win. The Bruins held the Golden Eagles to 42.4% shooting from the field and won the turnover battle by a 13-9 margin. Leading the way for Belmont was Evan Bradds who had a double-double with 21 points, 13 rebounds, 3 assists, and a block. On the season, the Bruins have been led by Evan Bradds (17.7 ppg, 9.7 rpg, 2.1 apg), Craig Bradshaw (16.6 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.3 spg), and Taylor Barnette (10.4 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 2.0 apg). Offensively, Belmont is averaging 82.3 ppg on 49.2% shooting from the field and 36.3% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bruins average 10.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.25. Defensively, Belmont is allowing their opponents to average 77.0 ppg on 43.2% shooting. The Bruins have a rebound margin of -0.7 and a turnover margin of -1.7.
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The Tennessee State Tigers dropped to 19-9 (10-5 OVC) on the season after being defeated by the UT-Martin Skyhawks, 72-56, this past Thursday. Tennessee State was down by just a 33-31 margin at halftime however, struggled offensively in the 2nd half and allowed the Skyhawks to pull away for the victory. Tennessee State shot 40.3% from the field and just 15.8% (3-19) from beyond the arc. The Tigers allowed the Skyhawks to shoot 48.0% from the field and 40.9% (9-22) from three-point range. Leading the way for Tennessee State was Tahjere McCall who had 16 points, 3 rebounds, 4 assists, and a steal. On the season, the Tigers have been led by Keron Deshields (16.0 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.2 spg), Tahjefe McCall (14.5 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 3.1 apg, 2.3 spg), and Wayne Martin (10.9 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 1.1 bpg). Offensively, Tennessee State is averaging 72.9 ppg on 45.4% shooting from the field and 33.6 shooting from beyond the arc. The Tigers average 5.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.78. Defensively, Tennessee State is holding their opponents to average 68.2 ppg on 40.9% shooting. The Tigers average 7.6 steals per game and have a rebound margin of 3.4.
The Bruins are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Tigers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Belmont is going to be the favorite to win the OVC’s automatic bid going into the conference tournament and once against has an outstanding offense that ranks 16th in the country in scoring, 10th in FG%, and 6th in 3P FG%. Tennessee State has won 4 of their last 6 games and has been great on the defensive end this year as they rank 84th in the county in scoring defense and 44th in steals per game. Tennessee State is an impressive 10-2 at home this season but as the Tigers had trouble slowing the Bruins offense in a 103-95 loss earlier this season, and I think the Bruins will be able to do enough on the road in this one to cover the small spread. Take Belmont to cover.