Murray State vs. Eastern Illinois - 3/2/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Eastern Illinois Panthers (13-16) at Murray State Racers (15-13)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 2, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Nashville Municipal Auditorium)
The Line: Murray State Racers -6 -- Over/Under: 135.5 See the Latest Odds
The (7) Eastern Illinois Panthers will travel and (6) Murray State Racers will travel to the Nashville Municipal Auditorium to face off in the 1st round of the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament this Wednesday night.
The Eastern Illinois Panthers finished their regular season with a 13-16 overall record and 9-7 record in the OVC West to earn the 7th seed in the OVC tournament. The Panthers finished the season strong winning 7 of their last 10 games, which included an 85-74 victory over the Murray Racers, this past Thursday. On the season, Eastern Illinois has been led by Trae Anderson (15.0 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 1.8 apg), Demetrius McReynolds (12.0 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 1.3 apg), and Cornell Johnston (11.0 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 5.8 apg, 1.2 spg). Offensively, Eastern Illinois averages 71.8 ppg on 44.1% shooting from the field and 34.9% shooting from beyond the arc. The Panthers average 7.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.15. Defensively, Eastern Illinois is allowing their opponents to average 73.6 ppg on 44.0% shooting. The Panthers have a rebound margin of -5.1 and a turnover margin of 1.4.
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Murray State knew that this would be a rebuilding year with just senior, Jeffery Moss, returning for Racers and although the Racers were able to finished with a solid 10-6 conference record, earning them the 6-seed in the OVC tournament, Murray State finished with just a 16-13 record on the season. Murray State finished the season winning 4 of their last 5 games and have been playing well defensively during that span as they are holding their opponents to just 64.0 ppg. On the season, the Racers have been led by Jeffery Moss (14.2 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 2.0 apg), Wayne Langston (13.4 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.4 apg), and Bryce Jones (12.3 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.2 spg). Offensively, Murray State is averaging 71.2 ppg on 45.1% shooting from the field and 36.5% shooting from beyond the arc. The Racers average 7.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.21. Defensively, Murray State is holding their opponents to an average of 67.4 ppg on 45.6% shooting. The Racers have a rebound margin of 1.7 and have a turnover margin of 1.6.
The Panthers are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games. The Racers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
Eastern Illinois and Murray State split their regular season series this season with each team winning their home games by double-digits. Eastern Illinois has played better as of late but still rank below average on both sides of the ball and as the Murray State was a bit better away from home this season, I think the Racers will be able to limit the Panther offensive and cover this spread. Take Murray State to cover.