Bowling Green vs. Buffalo - 3/4/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Buffalo Bulls (16-14) at Bowling Green Falcons (14-16)
College Basketball: Friday, March 4, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Stroh Center)
The Line: Bowling Green Falcons +2 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Buffalo Bulls will travel to the Stroh Center to take on the Bowling Green Falcons this Friday night in College Basketball action.
The Buffalo Bulls lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 16-14 (9-8 MAC East) on the season after being defeated by the Miami (OH) Redhawks, 67-59, this past Tuesday. Buffalo allowed the Redhawks to go on a 7-0 run late in the 2nd half and scored four points over the last 4:00 minutes of the game in the loss. Buffalo shot 35.5% from the field and lost the turnover battle by a 14-8 margin. The Bulls allowed the Redhawks to shoot 43.1% from the field and 35.0% (7-20) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for Buffalo was Blake Hamilton who had a double-double with 20 points and 13 rebounds. On the season, the Bulls have been led by Lamonte Bearden (13.3 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.6 spg), Blake Hamilton (12.8 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.3 spg), and Willie Conner (11.4 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 1.1 apg). Offensively, Buffalo is averaging 76.8 ppg on 43.4% shooting from the field and 32.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bulls average 6.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.92. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing their opponents to average 75.2 ppg on 43.2% shooting. The Bulls have a rebound margin of 2.3 and average 7.1 steals per game.
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The Bowling Green Falcons lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 14-16 (5-12 MAC East) on the season after being defeated by the Kent State Golden Flashes, 70-54, this past Tuesday. Bowling Green found themselves down by a 33-27 margin at halftime and couldn’t make a comeback after allowing the Golden Flashes to extend the lead to a 46-32 margin early in the 2nd half. Bowling Green struggled offensively as they shot just 37.5 from the field and 30.8% (4-13) from beyond the arc. The Falcons allowed the Golden Flashes to shoot 47.3% from the field and was outrebounded by Kent State by a 39-29 margin. Leading the way for Bowling Green was Spencer Parker who had 15 points, 8 rebounds, and an assist. On the season, Bowling Green has been led by Spencer Parker (14.1 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 1.7 apg), Zack Denny (11.6 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 1.3 spg), and Wesley Alcegaire (10.4 ppg, 3.1 rpg). Offensively, Bowling Green is averaging 70.6 ppg on 43.9% shooting from the field and 36.5% shooting from beyond the arc. The Falcons average 6.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.94. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing their opponents to average 72.1 ppg on 42.7% shooting. The Falcons have a rebound margin of 0.8 and a turnover margin of -0.7.
The Bulls are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Buffalo has lost 5 of their last 7 games and have struggled defensively in those losses as they are allowing their opponents to average 83.0 ppg. Bowling Green hasn't won much as of late as they’ve lost 9 of their last 10 games and haven't shown much offensively throughout the season as they rank just 333rd in scoring offense. Buffalo has posted just a 4-9 record on the road this season and although Bowling Green has hasn't won recently, I think that Spencer Parker has a big game at home on senior night and that Bowling Green at worst covers with the small points.