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Green Bay vs. Cleveland State - 3/5/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland State Vikings (9-22) at Wisc-Green Bay Phoenix (19-12)

College Basketball: Saturday, March 5, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Joe Louis Arena)

The Line: Wisc-Green Bay Phoenix -10 -- Over/Under: 142.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The Cleveland State Vikings and Green Bay Phoenix will face off in the 1st round of the Horizon League Men’s Championship at Joe Louis Arena this Saturday afternoon.

Cleveland State finished the regular season losing 9 of their last 11 games and ended the season with a 9-22 overall record and 4-14 conference record that earned them the 9-seed in the Horizon League Tournament. Cleveland State had a lot of questions marks coming into the season and after losing Anton Grady and Trey Lewis who both decided to transfer, the Vikings had issues finding ways to score ball throughout the season. On the season, the Vikings were led by Rob Edwards (12.5 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.1 spg), Demonte Flannigan (11.3 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 1.0 bpg), and Andre Yates (9.1 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 2.1 apg). Offensively, Cleveland State averaged just 61.1 ppg on 40.4% shooting from the field and 32.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Vikings average 5.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.74. Defensively, Cleveland State is holding their opponents to an average of 67.9 ppg on 44.6% shooting. The Vikings have a rebound margin of -2.0 and a turnover margin of -0.6.

Green Bay vs. Cleveland State - 3/5/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Green Bay Phoenix was a much different team under first year head coach, Linc Darner, as the Phoenix used a high-paced offensive attack to finished the season with a 19-12 overall record and earned the 4-seed in the Horizon Tournament with a 11-7 conference record. Green Bay is heading into the conference tournament winning 4 of their last 5 games with the loss coming against the 1-seed Valparaiso Crusaders, in a close 70-68 battle. On the season, the Phoenix have been led by Carrington Love (18.3 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 3.5 apg, 2.5 spg), Charles Cooper (13.6 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.0 spg), and Jordan Fouse (12.0 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 3.4 apg, 2.2 spg, 1.4 bpg). Offensively, Green Bay is averaging 85.0 ppg on 45.0% shooting from the field and 34.6% shooting from beyond the arc. The Phoenix average 7.1 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.17. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing their opponents to average 81.1 ppg on 45.8% shooting. The Phoenix average 9.8 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 4.7.

The Vikings are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games. The Phoenix are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss and 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Green Bay was able to win both matchups against Cleveland State during the regular season as the Phoenix defeated the Vikings on the road, 87-67, and at home more recently, 78-61. Green Bay has one of the best offenses in the country as they rank 5th in scoring offense, however, they are one of the worse defensive teams as they rank 334th in scoring defense and 287th defensive FG%. Cleveland State has an above average defense however, have no offensive firepower as they rank 340th in the country in scoring offense. Green Bay has shown that they can score on about anyone this season and as the Vikings have averaged just 64 ppg against a Green Bay defense that is giving up an average of 81.1 ppg, I think the Green Bay will once again win big and cover this double-digit spread. 

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Green Bay Phoenix -10

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