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St. John's vs. Providence - 3/5/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Providence Friars (21-9) at St. John's Red Storm (8-22)

College Basketball: Saturday, March 5, 2016 at 12:30 pm (Madison Square Garden)

The Line: St. John's Red Storm +9.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

The Providence Friars will travel to Madison Square Garden to take on the St. John’s Red Storm this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The Providence Friars won their 2nd straight game and improved to 21-9 (9-8 Big East) on the season after defeating the Creighton Blue Jays, 70-66, this past Wednesday. Providence struggled offensively in the 1st half but outscored the Creighton by a 42-34 margin in the 2nd half to get the big conference victory. Providence shot 39.3% from the field and 16.7% (4-24) from beyond the arc. The Friars allowed the Blue Jays to shoot 40.4% from the field and won the turnover battle by a 12-7 margin. Leading the way for Providence was Ben Bentil who had a double-double with 27 points, 10 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block, and as steal. On the season, the Friars have been led by Kris Dunn (16.4 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 6.3 apg, 2.8 spg), Ben Bentil (21.1 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.1 bpg), and Rodney Bullock (11.7 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.3 bpg). Offensively, Providence is averaging 73.6 ppg on 41.4% shooting from the field and 31.0% shooting from beyond the arc. The Friars average 6.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.35. Defensively, Providence is allowing their opponents to average 69.6 ppg on 43.2% shooting. The Friars average 6.8 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 3.2.

St. John's vs. Providence - 3/5/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The St. John’s Red Storm lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 8-22 (1-16 Big East) on the season after being defeated by the Creighton Blue Jays, 100-59, this past Sunday. St. John’s got dominated on the boards in the loss and had little chance of getting the win after falling behind by a 53-24 margin at halftime. St. John’s shot just 37.1% from the field and 17.6% (3-17) from beyond the arc. The Red Storm allowed the Blue Jays to shoot 60.3% from the field and was outrebounded by Creighton by a 47-21 margin. Leading the way for St. John’s was Christian Jones who had 17 points, 4 rebounds, 4 steals, and 2 assists. On the season, the Red Storm have been led by Durand Johnson (11.9 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.2 spg), Federico Mussini (10.8 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.3 spg), and Ron Mvouika (8.6 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.7 apg). Offensively, St. John’s is averaging 66.8 ppg on 39.8% shooting from the field and 32.1% shooting from beyond the arc. The Red Storm average 6.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.84. Defensively, St. John’s is allowing their opponents to average 76.0 ppg on 44.5% shooting. The Red Storm average 5.8 blocks per game and have a rebound margin of -4.0.

The Friars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Red Storm are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Providence was able to pick up a big win over Creighton to help their NCAA Tournament resume as prior to the Creighton game, the Friars had won 3 of their last 9 games. It has been a long rebounding season for first year head coach Chris Mullen as the Red Storm has struggled on both sides of the ball ranking just 302nd the country in scoring offense and 277th in scoring defense. Providence has two of the better players in the Big East in Kris Dunn and Ben Bentil however, the Friars hasn’t look like the same team as of late. St. John’s is just 6-9 at home this season, however the Red Storm has been solid ATS at home and I think they’ll put a good enough effort at Madison Square Garden to be able to cover with the large amount of points. Take St. John’s and the points. 

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St. John's Red Storm +9.5

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