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Hofstra vs. William & Mary - 3/6/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

William & Mary Tribe (20-10) at Hofstra Pride (23-8)

College Basketball: Sunday, March 6, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Royal Farms Arena)

The Line: Hofstra Pride -1.5 -- Over/Under: 157 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBCSN

The William & Mary Tribe and Hofstra Pride will square off in the Semifinals of the CAA Men’s Championship this Sunday afternoon at Royal Farms Arena.

The 5-seed William & Mary Tribe (20-10) capitalized on early shooting troubles from James Madison and was able to hold off the Dukes in the 2nd half to advance to the CAA semis after a 79-64 victory. James Madison went without a bucket for about a 10-minute stretch in the 1st half which allowed William & Mary to take a 31-15 halftime lead and the Tribe led by at least 7 points throughout the 2nd half. William & Mary shot 51.0% from the field and 31.6% (6-19) from beyond the arc. The Tribe held the Dukes to 35.5% shooting from the field and 28.1% (9-32) from three-point range. Leading the way for William & Mary was Omar Prewitt who had 25 points, 4 rebounds, 1 assist, and 1 steal. On the season, the Tribe have been led by Omar Prewitt (18.0 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 2.5 apg), Daniel Dixon (13.1 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.9 apg), and Terry Tarpey (11.0 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 2.4 apg, 2.1 spg). Offensively, William & Mary is averaging 77.2 ppg on 48.0% shooting from the field and 36.8% shooting from beyond the arc. The Tribe average 7.8 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.55. Defensively, William & Mary is allowing their opponents to average 71.4 ppg on 42.2% shooting. The Tribe have a rebound margin of 2.3 and a turnover margin of -0.3.

Hofstra  vs. William & Mary - 3/6/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The 1-seed Hofstra Pride (23-8) finished the season on a six game winning streak and continued their winning ways into the conference tournament as these easily defeated the 9-seed Drexel Dragons, 80-67, on Friday. Hofstra was able to get a 42-29 halftime lead in this one and got up by as many as 20 points in the 2nd half in the victory. Hofstra shot 48.1% from the field and 40.9% (9-22) from beyond the arc. The Pride held the Dragons to 41.2% shooting from the field and 29.4% (5-17) from three-point range. Leading the way for Hofstra was Juan’ya Green who had 22 points, 6 rebounds, 4 assists, and a block. On the season, the Pride have been led by Juan’ya Green (17.7 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 7.2 apg, 1.8 spg), Ameen Tanksley (15.6 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 1.3 apg), and Rokas Gustys (13.6 ppg, 12.7 rpg, 1.2 bpg). Offensively, Hofstra is averaging 79.3 ppg on 44.3% shooting from the field and 35.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Pride average 8.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.31. Defensively, Hofstra is allowing their opponents to average 73.8 ppg on 43.5% shooting. The Pride have a rebound margin of 2.2 and average 6.5 steals per game.

The Tribe are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The Pride are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win.

During the regular season, Hofstra was able to defeat William & Mary in both matchups this season as Hofstra won 91-63 at home and 86-80 on the road. Hofstra is an experienced team that can score the ball and have two great players in CAA-Player of the Year, Juan’ya Green, and double-double machine, Rokas Gustys. William & Mary has a dangerous offense that can put up points in a hurry as they average 7.8 three-pointers per game and rank 25th in the country in FG%. William & Mary certainly has the talent to beat anyone in the CAA but can be a bit inconsistent away from home and as Hofstra was able to defeat the Tribe twice already and seem to be playing some of their best basketball of the season, I’m leaning towards taking Hofstra as long as they are only favored by about 3-5 points. Please check back for updates when the lines are released.

Update (10:48 AM EST) - This line is a bit lower than I orginally expected and as I was comfortable taking Hofstra favored by as much a five, I'm sticking with the Pride to cover this small spread.  

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Hofstra Pride -1.5

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