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St. Mary's Gaels vs. Pepperdine Waves - 3/7/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pepperdine Waves (18-12) at St. Mary's Gaels (26-4)

College Basketball: Monday, March 7, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Orleans Arena)

The Line: St. Mary's Gaels -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Pepperdine Waves will play the Saint Mary’s Gaels in the semi-finals of the WCC Tournament.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels are 26-4 (15-3) and are the #1 seed in the WCC tournament. Saint Mary’s defeated Loyola Marymount by a score of 60-48 in their first game of the WCC tournament. Saint Mary’s is averaging 74.7 points per game while giving up 60 points per game. Saint Mary’s is also averaging 35.7 rebounds per game and 17.1 assists per game. Emmett Naar is averaging 13.9 points per game and 6.2 assists per game for Saint Mary’s. Calvin Hermanson is averaging 11.6 points per game and 2.8 rebounds per game for the Gaels. Saint Mary’s is shooting 69.4% on free throws, 41.3% on three-pointers, and 50.9% on all field goal attempts.

St. Mary's Gaels vs. Pepperdine Waves - 3/7/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Pepperdine Waves are 18-12 (10-8) and are the #4 seed in the WCC tournament. Pepperdine defeated San Francisco by a score of 90-86 in their first game of the WCC tournament. Pepperdine swept the season series with Saint Mary’s by scores of 69-63 and 67-64. Pepperdine is averaging 73.7 points per game while giving up 70.9 points per game. Pepperdine is also averaging 37.1 rebounds per game and 14.5 assists per game. Lamond Murray Jr. is averaging 16.2 points per game and 5.4 rebounds per game for Pepperdine. Stacy Davis is averaging 15.4 points per game and 9 rebounds per game for the Waves. Pepperdine is shooting 67.6% on free throws, 34.5% on three-pointers, and 45.3% on all field goal attempts.

Pepperdine is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Pepperdine is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in Pepperdine’s last 4 games. Saint Mary’s is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Saint Mary’s is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 neutral site games for Saint Mary’s. Pepperdine is 5-2 ATS in these two teams last 7 meetings.

Saint Mary’s comes into this game as the top team in the WCC, but has not been able to beat Pepperdine yet. Saint Mary’s is one of the best defensive teams in the country, giving up only 60 points per game. Pepperdine has the rebounding advantage, while Saint Mary’s is the better shooting team. I think Saint Mary’s will finally break through against Pepperdine here.

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Saint Mary's Gaels -7.5

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