Oregon State vs. Arizona State - 3/9/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils (15-16) at Oregon State Beavers (18-11)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 9, 2016 at 11:30 pm (MGM Grand)
The Line: Oregon State Beavers -2.5 -- Over/Under: 142 See the Latest Odds
TV: PAC 12 Networks; National, Oregon, and Arizona Feeds
The Arizona State Sun Devils and the Oregon State Beavers will face of in the 1st round of the PAC-12 Men’s Tournament this Wednesday night at the MGM Grand Garden Arena.
The Arizona State Sun Devils got out to nice start to their season as they starting off 10-3 with wins at Creighton and at home against Texas A&M, however, struggled in the 2nd half of the season as they finished with a 15-16 record and earned the 11th seed with a 5-13 conference record. Arizona State was tough at home this season but did struggled throughout the year on the defensive end as they rank 233rd in the country in scoring defense and 299th in defensive FG%. On the season, leading the way for Arizona State was Tra Holder who averaged 14.3 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.0 spg. Also contributing for the Sun Devils have been Gerry Blakes (10.7 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.0 spg), Obinna Oleka (9.8 ppg, 6.0 rpg), and Savon Goodman (9.4 ppg, 6.5 rpg). Offensively, Arizona State is averaging 73.5 ppg on 41.7% shooting from the field and 33.8% shooting from beyond the arc. The Sun Devils average 7.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.06. Defensively, Arizona State is allowing their opponents to average 73.9 ppg on 45.9% shooting. The Sun Devils have a rebound margin of 0.5 and a turnover margin of 0.9.
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The Oregon State Beavers come into the Pac-12 Tournament winning three of their last four games to finish the regular season with an 18-11 record and earned the 6-seed for the Tournament with a 9-9 conference record. Oregon State won 6 of their last 9 games of the season to keep their at-large NCAA Tournament hopes alive and have been great on the season causing turnovers as they rank 53rd in the country in steals per game and 44th in turnover margin. On the season, leading the way for Oregon State has been Gary Payton II who averages 15.9 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 5.3 apg, and 2.4 spg. Also contributing for the Beavers has been Tres Tinkle (13.1 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.2 bpg), Stephen Thompson Jr. (10.7 ppg, 1.8 rpg, 1.1 spg), and Drew Eubanks (7.7 ppg, 4.7 rpg). Offensively, Oregon State is averaging 72.1 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field and 36.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Beavers average 6.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.20. Defensively, Oregon State is allowing their opponent to average 69.9 ppg on 42.9% shooting. The Beavers have a rebound margin of -2.2 and a turnover margin of 2.2.
The Sun Devils are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Wednesday games and 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. The Beavers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 game following a ATS win.
Arizona State was able to easily defeat Oregon State by an 86-68 margin at home in the only regular season matchup between the two teams. Arizona State and first year head coach Bobby Hurley have a great guard in Tra Holder however, just haven’t been able to get wins on the road this season as they have just a 4-10 road record. Oregon State has one of the best point guards in the country in Gary Payton II who should be able to lockdown Tra Holder, and as the Beavers know they need this win to keep their at-large hopes alive, I think the Beavers come out strong in this one and cover this small spread. Take Oregon State to cover.