Rhode Island vs. UMass - 3/10/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UMass Minutemen (13-17) at Rhode Island Rams (17-14)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 10, 2016 at 6:30 pm (Barclays Center)
The Line: Rhode Island Rams -7 -- Over/Under: 136 See the Latest Odds
The UMass Minutemen and Rhode Island Rams will face off in the 2nd round of the A-10 Men’s Championship this Thursday night at the Barclays Center.
The UMass Minutemen finished the regular season with a 13-17 record and earned the 10-seed in the A-10 Tournament with a 6-12 conference record. UMass got some solid guard play down to stretch and even upset VCU at home, however, struggled defensively throughout the season as they rank 277th in the country in scoring defense. On the season, UMass was led by their backcourt duo of Trey Davis (18.6 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 3.2 apg, 1.2 spg), and Donte Clark (16.6 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 2.4 apg). Also contributing for the Minutemen has been Jabarie Hinds (14.2 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.4 spg), and Antwan Space (6.8 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.7 apg). Offensively, UMass is averaging 73.9 ppg on 42.9% shooting from the field and 32.9% shooting from beyond the arc. The Minutemen average 7.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.09. Defensively, UMass is allowing their opponents to average 76.0 ppg on 43.1% shooting. The Minutemen have a rebound margin of -2.5 and a turnover margin of -0.1.
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The Rhode Island Rams had an up and down year, finishing the season with a 17-14 record while earning the 7-seed with a 9-9 conference record. Rhode Island suffered a high blow during their 1st game of the season losing their star player, E.C. Matthews, for the season due to a knee injury. The Rams struggled offensively at times during the season without Matthews but used a solid defense and was great at home to finish above .500. On the season, Rhode Island has been led by Jared Terrell who averaged 13.6 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.6 apg, and 1.2 spg. Also chipping in for the Rams was Jarvis Garrett (12.7 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 4.7 apg, 1.1 spg), Hassan Martin (12.0 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 2.5 bpg), and Four McGlynn (11.4 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 1.4 apg). Offensively, Rhode Island is averaging 69.6 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field and 37.1% shooting from beyond the arc. The Rams average 6.7 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.06. Defensively, Rhode Island is holding their opponents to an average of 64.7 ppg on 42.6% shooting. The Rams have a rebound margin of 2.3 and a turnover margin of 0.8.
The Minutemen are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
UMass and Rhode Island split their regular season series as UMass got a 61-56 OT win at home while Rhode Island won by a 68-50 margin just a week ago. Rhode Island will need to rely on their defense if they want to make a run in the A-10 tournament however, it’s clear that their offense can struggle scoring as they were only able to average 62.0 ppg against the UMass defense that gives up almost 80 ppg on average. Rhode Island was able to get a big win at home a week ago but the Rams are not the same team when they don’t play at home and I think the guard play Trey Davis and Donte Clark will be able to do enough for the Minutemen to keep this one within the number. Take UMass and the points.