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Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornets - 3/10/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Alabama State Hornets (14-16) at Southern Jaguars (19-12)

College Basketball: Thursday, March 10, 2016 at 9:30 pm (Toyota Center)

The Line: Southern Jaguars -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV:

The Southern Jaguars will play the Alabama State Hornets in the second round of the SWAC tournament.

The Alabama State Hornets are 14-16 (9-9) and are the #5 seed in the SWAC tournament. Alabama State finished the regular season by winning 6 of their last 7 games and is coming off of a win against Grambling State by a score of 59-58. Alabama State defeated Southern at home by a score of 77-68. Alabama State is averaging 71.8 points per game while giving up 74.1 points per game. Alabama State is also averaging 37.3 rebounds per game and 12.2 assists per game. Jamel Waters is averaging 15.8 points per game and 4.2 assists per game for Alabama State. Corvon Butler is averaging 9.9 points per game and 6.1 rebounds per game for the Hornets. Alabama State is shooting 68% on free throws, 33.2% on three-pointers, and 41.4% on all field goal attempts.

Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornets - 3/10/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Southern Jaguars are 19-12 (11-7) and are the #4 seed in the SWAC tournament. Southern finished the regular season by losing 4 of their last 5 games and is coming off of a loss to Prairie View A&M by a score of 79-71. Southern defeated Alabama State at home by a score of 73-69. Southern is averaging 72.9 points per game while giving up 69.6 points per game. Southern is also averaging 35.5 rebounds per game and 10.9 assists per game. Adrian Rodgers is averaging 16.8 points per game and 5.1 rebounds per game for Southern. Trelun Banks is averaging 12.2 points per game and 2.7 rebounds per game for the Jaguars. Southern is shooting 65.9% on free throws, 35.1% on three-pointers, and 45% on all field goal attempts.

Alabama State is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Alabama State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. The over is 4-1 in Alabama State’s last 5 games. Southern is 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss. Southern is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. The under is 4-0 in Southern’s last 4 games.

Southern had the better season this year, but these teams split their season series with both teams winning at home. Southern is the better defensive team in this matchup, while Alabama State has the rebounding advantage. I like Southern in this game. 

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Southern Jaguars -2

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