West Virginia vs. TCU - 3/10/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
TCU Horned Frogs (12-20) at West Virginia Mountaineers (24-7)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 10, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Sprint Center)
The Line: West Virginia Mountaineers -14.5 -- Over/Under:141 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The TCU Horned Frogs and the 9th ranked West Virginia Mountaineers will square off in the quarterfinals of the Big 12 Tournament this Thursday night at the Sprint Center.
The 10-seed TCU Horned Frogs pulled off the upset and defeated the 7-seed Texas Tech Red Raiders, 67-62, on Wednesday night. TCU, who only won two Big-12 games during the regular season, got a big three-point play by Malique Trent with :35 seconds left in the game to put the Horned Frogs up by a 62-58 margin in which they were able to hang on for the victory. TCU shot 42.6% from the field and 47.6% (10-21) from beyond the arc. The Horned Frogs were outstanding on the defensive end as they held the Red Raiders to 39.7% shooting from the field and 27.8% (5-18) from three-point range. Leading the way for TCU was Chauncey Collins who had 19 points, 3 rebounds, 2 assists, and a steal. On the season, the Horned Frogs have been led by Chauncey Collings (11.8 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 2.0 apg), Malique Trent (11.5 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 2.6 apg, 2.1 spg), Brandon Parrish (8.7 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 1.3 apg). Offensively, TCU is averaging 67.0 ppg on 40.7% shooting from the field and 33.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Horned Frogs average 5.5 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.80. Defensively, TCU is allowing their opponents to average 71.3 ppg on 44.5% shooting. The Horned Frogs have a rebound margin of -2.7 and a turnover margin of 0.3.
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The 9th ranked West Virginia Mountaineers picked up a big win against the Baylor Bears to finished their season with a 24-7 record, while earning the 2-seed in the Big-12 Tournament with a 13-5 conference record. West Virginia was one of the best defensive teams in the country this season and ranked 1st in the country in steals per game. On the season, West Virginia was led by Devin Williams who averaged 12.7 ppg, 9.1 rpg, and 1.4 apg. Also chipping in for the Mountaineers this season was Jaysean Paige (14.3 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.4 spg), Daxter Miles Jr. (9.9 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.5 spg), and Jonathan Holton (9.4 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.0 spg). Offensively, West Virginia is averaging 79.6 ppg on 45.1% shooting from the field and 32.3% shooting from beyond the arc. The Mountaineers average 5.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.08. Defensively, West Virginia is holding their opponents to an average of 66.2 ppg on 42.6% shooting from the field. The Mountaineers have a rebound margin of 8.9 and a turnover margin of 4.4.
The Horned Frogs are 6-0 ATS in thier last 6 neutral site games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games. The Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in thier last 4 games overall and 8-3 ATS in thier last 11 games following a straight up win.
West Virginia was able to easily defeat TCU in both matchups this season as the Mountaineers won by a 95-87 margin on the road and 73-42 margin at home. TCU was able to pull off a great upset of Texas Tech, which will really hurt the Red Raiders NCAA Tournament hopes, however as I don’t see the Horned Frogs offensive being able to put up more than 55 points on the Mountaineers defense, I’m leaning towards taking the Mountaineers no matter where the line is at. Please check back for an update when the line is posted but I don’t see myself not taking West Virginia in this one.
Update (11:48 AM EST) - My feeling haven't changed at all in this one as I expect a blow out by West Virginia in this one. Take the Mountaineers to cover.