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Ohio vs. Buffalo - 3/11/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Buffalo Bulls (18-14) at Ohio Bobcats (21-10)

College Basketball: Friday, March 11, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Quicken Loans Arena)

The Line: Ohio Bobcats +1 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Time Warner Cable Sports Channel – Ohio & New York; BCSN, ESPN College Extra

The Buffalo Bulls and Ohio Bobcats will square off in the semifinals of the MAC Men’s Tournament this Friday night at Quicken Loans Arena.

The 2-seed Ohio Bobcats was outstanding on both sides of the ball in their victory against the 7-seed Northern Illinois, 79-62, on Wednesday night. Ohio was able to get out to a 36-27 halftime lead and led by double-digits throughout the 2nd half in the victory. Ohio shot 50.8% from the field and 48.3% (14-29) from beyond the arc. The Bobcats held the Huskies to 36.1% shooting from the field and 33.3% (9-27) from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Bobcats was Antonio Campbell who had 21 points, 8 rebounds, 5 blocks, 1 assist, and a steal. On the season, the Bobcats have been led by Antonio Campbell (17.5 ppg, 10.0 rpg, 1.7 bpg), Jaaron Simmons (15.2 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 7.7 apg), and Kenny Kaminski (12.5 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.2 apg). Offensively, Ohio is averaging 78.5 ppg on 47.4% shooting from the field and 39.0% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bobcats average 8.3 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.15. Defensively, Ohio is allowing their opponents to average 74.4 ppg on 43.7% shooting. The Bobcats have a rebound margin of 2.1 and a turnover margin of -1.7.

Ohio vs. Buffalo - 3/11/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The 3-seed Buffalo Bulls used a strong offensive attack to defeat the Miami (OH) Redhawks, 94-91, to advance in the MAC Tournament. Buffalo held a 37-31 halftime lead and used a 12-6 run to start the 2nd half to take control of the game and secure the win. Buffalo shot 50.0% from the field and 44.0% (11-25) from beyond the arc. The Bulls held the Redhawks to 37.7% shooting from field and outrebounded by Buffalo by a 47-35 margin. Leading the way for Buffalo was Blake Hamilton who had a double-double with 11 points, 16 rebounds, 7 assists, and a steal. On the season, the Bulls have been led by Lamonte Bearden (13.6 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.7 spg), Blake Hamilton (13.0 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.4 spg), and Willie Conner (11.5 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 1.0 apg). Offensively, Buffalo is averaging 77.1 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field and 32.5% shooting from beyond the arc. The Bulls average 7.0 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.92. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing their opponents to average 75.5 ppg on 43.6% shooting. The Bulls have a rebound margin of 2.2 and a turnover margin of -0.2.

The Bulls are 6-1 ATS in thier last 7 neutral site games and 5-2 ATS in thier last 7 games following a ATS win. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 8-2 ATS in thier last 10 Friday games. 

Ohio was able to win both games this season against Buffalo as the Bobcats won 94-75 on the road and 103-96 (OT) at home. This should be another high scoring affair but I think Ohio is the much better team in this one and as I don’t see the Bobcats favored by more than 3 or 4 in this one, I’m leaning towards taking Ohio and as it should be a high scoring game, will keep an eye out on the O/U number. Please check back for updates when the line is listed.  

Update -  I'm shocked that Ohio is not the favored in this one and feel much better about taking Ohio in this now. I still don't see and O/U for this game and will be checking this closer to tip off as I might go with the over if the number is somewhat reasonable. 

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Ohio Bobcats +1

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