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Texas-Arlington Mavericks vs. Texas State Bobcats - 3/11/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas State Bobcats (15-15) at Texas-Arlington Mavericks (22-9)

College Basketball: Friday, March 11, 2016 at 8:30 pm (Lakefront Arena)

The Line: Texas-Arlington Mavericks -9.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Texas State Bobcats shoot for another upset when they face the Texas Arlington Mavericks in the Sun Belt quarters.

The Texas-Arlington Mavericks received a bye in to the Sun Belt quarterfinals thanks to their third place finish. The Mavericks have had a great year at 22-9 and will be in the postseason somewhere although the obvious goal is to win the conference playoffs and head to the NCAA’s. The Mavericks have some momentum with a four game winning streak to lean on behind a potent offense that lights up the scoreboard to the tune of 80 points while allowing 69 points on just 39% shooting. With leading scorer Kevin Hervey sitting on the bench with a bad knee and 18 points the offense will look for Erick Neal (13 ppg), Jalen Jones (12.5 ppg) and Kaelon Wilson (10 ppg) to ramp up their production.

Texas-Arlington Mavericks vs. Texas State Bobcats - 3/11/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The defense first Texas State Bobcats pulled off a small upset in the opening round of the Sun Belt tournament with a 63-61 win versus Georgia State as a 2.5 point underdog. The Bobcats looked dead in the water as they faced a 13 point deficit at the half thanks to a 21 point performance. The Bobcats roared back behind a 42 point burst over the final 20 minutes behind 51% shooting with a few more free throws doing in the 45% marksmanship of the Panthers. Kevin Gilder-Tilbury led Texas State with 18 points on 6-10 that include four 3’s with Emani Grant adding 12 points and eleven rebounds. Maljhum McCrea netted ten points and logged five yanks while Ojai Black and Cameron Naylor scored seven points apiece.

The over is 9-4 in Texas-Arlington last 13 neutral site games and the Bobcats are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings. I don’t see a line out but most certainly it won’t be as chalky without Hervey playing. Both teams have been playing well and the team that controls the pace covers although my interestis minimal...

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Texas State +9.5

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