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Virginia vs. Miami - 3/11/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Hurricanes (25-6) at Virginia Cavaliers (25-6)

College Basketball: Friday, March 11, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Verizon Center)

The Line: Virginia Cavaliers -3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN; ACC Network

The 11th ranked Miami Hurricanes and 4th ranked Virginia Cavaliers will face off in the semifinals of the ACC Men’s Tournament this Friday night at the Verizon Center.

The 3-seed Miami Hurricanes was able to get out to a big lead early in the 2nd half and hold off the Virginia Tech Hokies by an 88-82 margin to advance in the ACC Men’s Tournament. Miami was outstanding on the offensive end as they shot 56.6% from the field and 44.4% (8-18) from beyond the arc in the victory. The Hurricanes allowed the Hokies to shoot 49.1% from the field and won the turnover battle by a 14-10 margin. Leading the way for Miami was Angel Rodriguez who had 19 points, 9 assists, 3 steals, and a rebound. On the season, the Hurricanes have been led by Sheldon McClellan (15.7 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.0 spg), Angel Rodriguez (11.6 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.5 spg), and Davon Reed (11.3 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.3 apg). Offensively, Miami is averaging 75.5 ppg on 47.2% shooting from the field and 36.1% shooting from beyond the arc. The Hurricanes average 6.9 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.22. Defensively, Miami is allowing their opponents to average 66.1 ppg on 42.5% shooting. The Hurricanes have a rebound margin of 2.7 and a turnover margin of 1.1.

Virginia vs. Miami - 3/11/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The 2-seed Virginia Cavaliers continued their recent run of outstanding defense and was able to advance after defeating the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 72-52, on Wednesday night. Virginia used a strong second half in which they outscored the Yellow Jackets by a 42-24 margin to help secure the victory. Virginia shot 53.8% from the field and 50.0% (7-14) from beyond the arc. The Cavaliers won the turnover margin by a 14-7 margin and held the Yellow Jackets to 40.8% shooting from the field. Leading the way for Virginia was Malcolm Brogdon who had 26 points, 3 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 block, and a steal. On the season, the Cavaliers have been led by Malcolm Brogdon (18.4 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 2.8 apg), Anthony Gill (13.6 ppg, 6.1 rpg), and London Perrantes (11.2 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 4.4 apg, 1.1 spg). Offensively, Virginia is averaging 70.7 ppg on 48.9% shooting from the field and 40.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Cavaliers average 6.0 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.54. Defensively, Virginia is holding their opponents to an average of 59.6 ppg on 41.6% shooting. The Cavaliers have a rebound margin of 3.7 and have a turnover margin of 2.5.

The Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in thier last 6 neutral site games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in thier last 4 games overall and 4-1 ATS in thier last 5 neutral stie games. 

Miami and Virginia split their regular season series as the Hurricanes won a recent matchup at home by a 64-61 margin while the Cavaliers defeated Miami at home by a 66-58 margin in early January. Virginia has been outstanding on the defensive end over their last three games holding opponents to an average of 51.7 ppg, however, Miami showed in their recent victory that they match-up well against Virginia as they are solid in all aspects of the game. I expect the Hurricanes to get a few points in this one, and as feel this one will come down to the wire, I'm leaning towards taking the Miami Hurricanes. Please check back for updates when the line is posted.  

Update: I'm happy getting three points with the Hurricanes and as I still think it's going to come down to the wire, I'm taking Miami with the points.

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Miami Hurricanes +3

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