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Tennessee State vs. Ball State - 3/15/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Ball State Cardinals (19-13) at Tennessee State Tigers (20-10)

College Basketball: Tuesday, March 15, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Gentry Complex)

The Line: Tennessee State Tigers -2.5 -- Over/Under: 137 See the Latest Odds

TV: http://www.watchcollegeinsider.com/watch/?Live=35

The Ball State Cardinals and Tennessee State Tigers will face off at the Gentry Center in the 1st round of the CIT this Tuesday night.

The Ball State Cardinals had a successful season finishing 1st in the MAC-West standings, however the Cardinals were upset by the Miami (OH) Redhawks in the 1st round of the MAC Tournament and finished the season with a 19-13 overall recording earning them a trip to the CIT Tournament. Ball State used a strong defense that ranked in the top-50 in scoring defense and defensive FG% however, needed to depend on the three-pointer for much of their offensive scoring and had a tendency to turn over the ball. On the season, Ball State has been led by Franko House (12.5 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 2.1 apg), Bo Calhoun (10.8 ppg, 8.7 rpg, 1.2 apg), and Ryan Weber (10.4 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 1.7 apg). Offensively, Ball State is averaging 70.3 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field and 37.4% shooting from beyond the arc. The Cardinals average 8.6 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.13. The Cardinals have a rebound margin of 1.8 and a turnover margin of -1.7.

Tennessee State vs. Ball State - 3/15/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Tennessee State Tigers rebounded from a 5-26 season in 2014-15 to win 20 games this season, and although they were upset by the eventual OVC Champions in the first round of the conference tournament, have to be pleased that they’ve earned an opportunity to place in one of the postseason Tournaments. Tennessee State was a solid defensive team that ranked 90th in the country in scoring defense and did an outstanding job forcing turnovers as they ranked 34th in the country in steals per game at 7.7. On the season, the Tigers have been led by Keron Deshields (16.2 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.3 spg), Tahjere McCall (14.6 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 3.0 apg, 2.3 spg), and Wayne Martin (11.1 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 1.1 bpg). Offensively, Tennessee State is averaging 73.3 ppg on 45.5% shooting from the field and 32.9% shooting from beyond the arc. The Tigers average 5.4 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 0.77. Defensively, Tennessee State is holding their opponents to an average of 68.5 ppg on 41.3% shooting. The Tigers have a rebound margin of 3.3 and average 3.6 blocks per game.

The Cardinals are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Tuesday games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Tigers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Ball State was only 5-7 on the road this season and although Tennessee State worst defensive stat is defending the three-pointer, the Tigers were an impressive 11-2 at home this season and as I don’t see Ball State scoring a lot of points in this one, I think Tennessee State will be able to cover this small spread. Take Tennessee State to cover.  

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Tennessee State -2.5

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