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Valparaiso Crusaders vs. Texas Southern Tigers - 3/15/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas Southern Tigers (18-14) at Valparaiso Crusaders (26-6)

College Basketball: Tuesday, March 15, 2016 at 9:15 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)

The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN3

The Texas Southern Tigers will travel to play the Valparaiso Crusaders in the first round of the NIT on Tuesday.

The Valparaiso Crusaders are 26-6 (16-2) and are coming off of a loss to Green Bay by a score of 99-92 in the Horizon League Tournament. Before the conference tournament, Valparaiso finished the regular season by winning their last 5 games. Valparaiso is averaging 75.8 points per game while giving up 62.2 points per game. Valparaiso is also averaging 42.1 rebounds per game and 13.9 assists per game. Alec Peters is averaging 18 points per game and 8.4 rebounds per game for Valparaiso. Keith Carter is averaging 9.9 points per game and 4.4 assists per game for the Crusaders. Valparaiso is shooting 72.4% on free throws, 36.2% on three-pointers, and 44.2% on all field goal attempts.

Valparaiso Crusaders vs. Texas Southern Tigers - 3/15/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Southern Tigers are 18-14 (16-2) and are coming off of a loss to Southern by a score of 81-73 in the SWAC Tournament. Texas Southern was able to defeat Alabama A&M by a score of 77-69 in their first conference tournament game. Before the conference tournament, Texas Southern finished the regular season by winning 7 of their last 8 games. Texas Southern is averaging 72.8 points per game while giving up 70.2 points per game. Texas Southern is also averaging 37.8 rebounds per game and 14.3 assists per game. Malcolm Riley is averaging 15.7 points per game and 5.5 rebounds per game for Texas Southern. Chris Thomas is averaging 14.8 points per game and 4.3 assists per game for the Tigers. Texas Southern is shooting 62.9% on free throws, 34.1% on three-pointers, and 45.8% on all field goal attempts.

Texas Southern is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games. Texas Southern is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. The over is 7-1 in Texas Southern’s last 8 games following an ATS loss. Valparaiso is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Valparaiso is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in Valparaiso’s last 5 games.

Valparaiso had a very good regular season and will have the home court advantage in this game. Valparaiso is the better defensive team in this matchup and will also have the rebounding advantage. Texas Southern played very well in conference play, after struggling to start the season. I like Valparaiso at home in this game. 

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Valparaiso Crusaders -16.5

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