Oregon vs. Duke - 3/24/16 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Duke Blue Devils (25-10) at Oregon Ducks (30-6)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 24, 2016 at 10:55 pm (Honda Center)
The Line: Oregon Ducks -2.5 -- Over/Under: 155 See the Latest Odds
The Duke Blue Devils and Oregon Ducks will play this Thursday night in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament at the Honda Center.
The 4-seed Duke Blue Devils were tested in their first two games of the NCAA Tournament but were able to advance after defeating the 13-seed UNC-Wilmington Seahawks, 93-85, and the 12-seed Yale Bulldogs, 71-64. On the season, the Blue Devils have been led by Grayson Allen (21.8 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.3 spg), Brandon Ingram (17.1 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.1 spg), and Miles Plumlee (8.4 ppg, 8.7 rpg, 1.1 apg). Offensively, Duke is averaging 81.5 ppg on 46.1% shooting from the field and 38.7% shooting from beyond the arc. The Blue Devils average 9.2 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.35. Defensively, Duke is allowing their opponents to average of 72.2 ppg on 44.3% shooting. The Blue Devils have a rebound margin of -0.4 and a turnover margin of 2.2.
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The 1-seed Oregon Ducks had little trouble defeating the 16-seed Holy Cross Crusaders, 91-52, this past Friday, but had all they could handle with the 8-seed Saint Joseph’s Hawks in their 69-64 victory late on Sunday night. On the season, Oregon has been led by Dillon Brooks (16.8 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.1 spg), Elgin Cook (14.5 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.4 spg), and Tyler Dorsey (13.7 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.9 apg). Offensively, Oregon is averaging 78.9 ppg on 46.8% shooting from the field and 34.5% shooting from beyond the arc. The Ducks average 6.8 three-pointers per game and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.18. Defensively, Oregon is holding their opponents to an average of 68.5 ppg on 42.2% shooting. The Ducks have a rebound margin of 3.4 and a turnover ratio of 2.8.
The Blue Devils are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games however, are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Duke displayed how they can put up points in a hurry in the 1st half against the Yale Bulldogs, but also showed a bit of their weaknesses which includes a defense that ranks just 187th in scoring defense and bench that isn’t very deep. Oregon has been one of the hottest teams over the last two months and although the Hawks defense was able to slow down the Ducks offense, Oregon is still one of the better offensives teams in the country. Oregon is one of the most athletic teams in the country and although I think Duke will be able to keep up with them early, I think their lack of depth will cost them in this one and that the Ducks will pull away in the 2nd half. Take Oregon to cover.